Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
438 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-050945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
438 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated fire weather risk.
DISCUSSION...
Sustained winds of 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph paired
with afternoon relative humidity values in the 30 to 40 percent
range will introduce a very minor localized fire weather risk,
especially with some areas experiencing drought-like conditions
and browning fall fuels.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
There is a 20 to 30 percent chance of thunderstorms at times
Monday and Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Price
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
931 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-050930-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
931 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma West of 75, South of 412.
ONSET...This Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
South to southeast winds will gust 20 to 25 mph this afternoon as
temperatures climb well above average for this time of year. The
warm and breezy conditions will be more supportive of fire spread,
especially in parts of northeast Oklahoma to the west of Highway 75
and south of Highway 412 where it has been a month since appreciable
rainfall has fallen.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Fire Weather Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
WEDNESDAY through FRIDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Warm and breezy conditions are expected again on Sunday afternoon,
especially to the west of Tulsa. These conditions will raise fire
weather concerns.
Isolated afternoon pop-up thunderstorms are forecast Monday
afternoon, primarily over western Arkansas. A frontal boundary
will bring low chances for thunderstorms to northeast Oklahoma
Monday night into Tuesday. Widely scattered afternoon pop-up
thunderstorms are expected again Tuesday afternoon across western
Arkansas and far eastern Oklahoma. Severe weather is not expected,
but gusty winds and heavy downpours will accompany storms that
develop.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0507 AM CDT Sat Oct 04 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-051007-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0507 AM CDT Sat Oct 04 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temperatures and calm weather continue for the
next 2 days.
- Showers and storms return late Sunday night into Monday.
Highest storm chances reside across far NE KS and NW MO. More
isolated showers and storms are possible from Louisburg to
Moberly and points NW.
- Temperatures cool back toward seasonal normals next week.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
306 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-050815-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
306 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Southerly wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible across mainly central
Kansas. The strongest wind gusts are likely to occur this morning
and again after sunset tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday
Chances for showers and thunderstorms look to increase Sunday
afternoon and Sunday evening. A few storms may become severe with
large hail and damaging winds possible. Additional shower and storm
chances will continue into Monday and Tuesday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
