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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
819 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-200230-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
819 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive cold risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Limited snow risk.

DISCUSSION...

  An isolated thunderstorm or two may occur tonight across mainly
  the southern Ozarks. Rain will change to snow after midnight
  across southeast Kansas into western Missouri. Snowfall
  amounts up to one inch will be possible in these areas by
  sunrise Saturday along with wind chill readings in the single
  digits to teens.

  A limited flooding risk will exist across southern Missouri
  tonight given saturated soils.

  Gusty south winds up to 30 mph will develop again overnight and
  towards the morning hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Rain will change over to snow across the rest of the area
  Saturday morning with total snowfall amounts of one to two
  inches possible. Gusty northwest winds up to 40 mph along with
  the snow and rapidly falling temperatures will create
  hazardous driving conditions Saturday morning and afternoon.

  Wind chill readings in the single digits are likely Saturday
  and Sunday.

  Gusty winds are expected Monday and Tuesday as another storm
  system approaches the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
105 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-192215-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
105 AM CST Sat Jan 19 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Light snow will diminish from west to east through the early morning
hours. Little or no additional accumulation is expected across the
area. Be prepared for some slick spots as temperatures plummet in
the wake of an arctic cold front.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Sub-zero wind chills are expected Saturday morning across central
Kansas. Snow will exit far southeast Kansas Saturday morning with
north winds gradually diminishing across the area by the afternoon.

Very high fire danger will be in place Monday afternoon for
southeast Kansas.

There is a slight chance for light snow or flurries Monday night and
Tuesday morning across central and parts of southeast Kansas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
843 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
843 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Overnight

A few thunderstorms will be possible during the overnight
period. While the threat for severe weather should remain low, a
few storms may produce some small hail, mainly across the
southeastern half of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday Through Thursday

Arctic air will filter into the state on Saturday behind a strong
cold front moving through the state. This may result in some
light accumulating snow primarily across northern portions of the
state Saturday and Saturday night. Some snow may also fall across
western sections of the state as well. At this time, accumulations
should remain less than and inch, with no significant impacts
expected. However, some locally higher amounts may be seen in the
higher terrain, which may create some isolated hazardous driving
concerns.

Breezy winds will also be seen during the day on Saturday. Expect
northwest winds of 20 to 30 mph, with gusts over 35 mph possible.
The strongest winds will be across the northern half of the area.
This will create rough conditions on area bodies of water, and
could cause difficulty for some high profile vehicles. Winds will
relax by late Saturday night into Sunday morning. However, there
will be enough wind in combination with much colder air to cause
wind chill values to drop down into the teens and 20s late
Saturday night into early Sunday for most of the state. Some
single digit wind chills will also be possible in the far
northwest portion of the area.

The threat for organized hazardous weather will then become low
beyond the daytime hours on Sunday.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
459 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
459 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...This evening.

WINTER WEATHER.
SNOW ACCUMULATION.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Much of Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

ICE ACCUMULATION.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late This Evening.

DISCUSSION...
A strong arctic cold front will move through the area during
the overnight hours. Ahead of the front, increasing moisture and
large scale forcing will result in scattered elevated
thunderstorms across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
Elevated instability in conjunction with a strongly sheared
environment will be in place mainly south of Interstate 40,
resulting in a large hail potential with the strongest storms.
The most likely timing for strong storms will be this evening into
very early Saturday morning.

The strong cold front will move into northeast Oklahoma between
10pm and midnight, with very strong wind gusts and a dramatic
drop in temperature accompanying the frontal passage. Rain will
quickly transition to snow as the colder air moves in, with a
brief threat of light freezing rain during the transition. The
speed of the system will limit the amount of snow accumulation,
but some areas of far northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
could see around an inch of snow. Any ice accumulations will
remain limited.  Strong north winds gusting around 40 mph will
result in dangerous wind chill values in the single digits through
early Sunday morning.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Winter Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Light snow will continue into Saturday morning, before moving
east of the area by Saturday night. The cold temperatures will
persist through Sunday, but the airmass will moderate quickly
as strong and gusty south winds develop Monday with temperatures
quickly rising back above normal.


weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
312 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-192115-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
312 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Snow is expected to develop and expand across portions of northeast
Missouri and west central Illinois tonight. A mix of rain and snow
is expected along a Mexico Missouri to Vandalia Illinois line, with
all rain south of this line. Please consult the warning and advisory
products for additional information.

A slight chance of thunderstorms exist late tonight across portions
of southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Snow will continue into Saturday with areas south of warning
changing over to all snow by midday. Expect 4 to 6 inches of snow
over portions of northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois with 2
to 4 inches in advisory area. Locally higher amounts are possible.
Gusty north winds to 35 mph at times will cause blowing and drifting
snow. Please consult the warning and advisory products for
additional information.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report precipitation type and
snowfall amounts to the National Weather Service.

$$

Gosselin

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
218 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-191100-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
218 PM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Locally heavy rainfall is possible late tonight. Rainfall rates
may be enhanced by a slight chance of thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Locally heavy rainfall potential continues into Saturday, as well
as the slight chance for thunderstorms. Rainfall rates may be
enhanced by the storm risk, mainly along and south of the Ohio
river, across western Kentucky. While overall average forecast storm
total rainfall amounts of 1 to 1.5 inches should not cause
widespread flood issues, some low land or prone area flooding or
ponding of water on roadways may occur. Be alert for rising creeks
or streams as well.

Rain will change to snow as Arctic air slams in from the northwest
during the Saturday afternoon and evening hours. A winter weather
advisory has been issued for Saturday afternoon and evening.
Refer to the advisory for details on all the potential impacts,
which include snow accumulations, gusty winds, sub freezing
temperatures, and bitterly cold wind chills.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports of impact precipitation can be relayed to your
local NWS office.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
453 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-191100-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
453 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 A winter storm will impact the area beginning this afternoon and
 continue through Saturday with the heaviest snowfall across northern
 Missouri where 4 to 7 inches will fall. Along the Interstate 70
 corridor including the KC Metro 2 to 4 inches in forecast. Further
 south across central Missouri 1 to 2 inches is forecast. Snow, and
 rain the refreezes as temperatures drop tonight will make for very
 slick road conditions.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

 Dangerously cold temperatures and wind chills expected behind this
 system Saturday night into Sunday with lows in the single digits and
 wind chills in the single digits below zero.

 Light snow accumulations will again be possible on Tuesday.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
408 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-191015-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
408 AM CST Fri Jan 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Freezing drizzle will be possible across portions of north
central and northeast Kansas Friday morning primarily along the
highway 36 corridor. The freezing drizzle will change to snow
Friday afternoon across northeast and north central Kansas. The
rain across east central Kansas on Friday will change over to snow
late friday afternoon and evening. The heaviest snowfall is
currently forecast between sunset Friday evening to just after the
midnight time frame. Snow should gradually taper off through the
early morning hours Saturday before sunrise. Total snow
accumulations will be between 1 to 4 inches with locally higher
amounts possible. The highest amounts should be focused over
portions of far northeastern Kansas into portions of east central
Kansas. Gusty north to northwest winds will accompany the snow
and may create blowing and drifting snow. A winter weather
advisory is in effect for the area Friday and Friday night through
Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Some light snow may linger into very early Saturday morning
mainly over far eastern portions of the forecast area.

Otherwise, the probability for widespread hazardous weather is
low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE