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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
312 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-212015-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
312 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Tropical moisture will remain across the region today and
  overnight. Showers will become more widespread through early
  this evening but tapper off slightly overnight. An isolated
  thunderstorm or two will also be possible with cloud to ground
  lightning the main hazard.

  Winds will be breezy through this evening with gusts between 20
  and 30 mph at time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected on
  Saturday and Sunday. Heavy rainfall will be possible at times
  over portions of the outlook area over the weekend. Early
  indications are that locations generally near and north of the
  Interstate 44 corridor may stand the best chance for heavy
  rainfall. Some isolated localized flooding my be possible
  where heavy rains occur.

  Chances for showers and thunderstorms may then return by the
  middle of next work week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
445 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-211030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
445 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across southeast
Oklahoma late this afternoon and are expected to continue
across southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas through
the evening hours before tapering off. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms will be possible across northeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas. Heavy rain will continue to be a concern
across southeast Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas through
the evening hours with another 1 to 2 inches of rain possible.
This could lead to flooding of low lying areas.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

An active and unsettled weather pattern is expected this weekend
into next week. Several rounds of showers and storms are expected,
first with a cold front Sunday into Monday, the retreating front
on Tuesday and finally with an upper level disturbance on
Thursday. Each round will bring potential for locally heavy
rainfall and a limited severe weather threat.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
438 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-212145-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
438 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers and storms will increase in coverage late tonight,
especially for southern and southeast Kansas. The stronger storms
may be capable of 50 mph winds and brief heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Storms will become more numerous Saturday evening and Saturday
night. Severe storms will be possible over mainly central Kansas
from Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. Heavy rain and
flooding will become increasingly likely Saturday night for portions
of central, south central and southeast Kansas with the threat for
heavy rain and flooding continuing into Sunday morning across
southeast Kansas.

Storms will return to the forecast for Tuesday through Thursday
with at least some strong storms possible along with heavy rain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
354 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-211200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
354 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorms are expected over the area Saturday into Sunday night.
Widespread rainfall of 2-3 inches is likely with locally heavier
amounts across northeast and central Missouri as well as west
central Illinois. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect.

In addition to heavy rainfall, a few of these storms could be strong
to severe on Saturday night and again on Sunday. The primary threats
will be large hail and damaging winds.

There is a chance of thunderstorms over parts of the area Tuesday
night into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

$$

Tilly

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
340 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-212045-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
340 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and tonight.

There is a chance for a thunderstorm across the area tonight.

Flooding on the Big Blue River near Blue Rapids continues.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Severe thunderstorms are possible mainly during the afternoon and
into the evening Saturday. Large hail and damaging winds look to
be the main hazards, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. The
thunderstorms could also produce torrential rainfall Saturday
night and Sunday morning. So a flash flood watch remains in effect
for northeast and east central Kansas through the morning Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters will not be needed this afternoon or tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Wolters

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
253 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-211000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
253 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will continue over southeast Missouri through
early evening and then diminish. The stronger storms will produce
brief heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Scattered thunderstorms are expected Sunday into Sunday night.
There is a marginal risk of severe storms Sunday into Sunday evening
across southwest Indiana, and most of southern Illinois and
southeast Missouri. The main concern will be isolated damaging
winds, along with locally heavy rainfall and lightning.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the area Wednesday
afternoon through Thursday. Storms are expected to remain below
severe limits.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Sunday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
458 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-211000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
458 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon as storms approach from the south. Some gusty winds and
isolated heavy rainfall is possible, but severe weather is not
expected.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Widespread storms are expected to form late Saturday afternoon over
NE KS and NW Missouri. Some of the storms may be strong to severe
with damaging winds being the main threat initially. These storms
will have high rainfall rates which could quickly lead to flash
flooding if an area gets multiple storms. These storms will slowly
track eastward leaving a widespread 3 to 4 inches of rainfall over
the area norther of I-70. This system will slowly move out of the
area starting with western Missouri late Sunday morning and all of
Missouri by Sunday evening.

Another round of storms are possible late Wednesday through Thursday
which could bring more severe weather and possible flooding concerns
back to the region.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
356 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-211000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
356 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to spread
northward through the day into the evening hours. Widespread
severe weather is not anticipated, but some gusty winds and
locally heavy rainfall is possible. The threat for flash flooding
remains low.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday Through Thursday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible across Arkansas
nearly each day next week, however severe weather chances appear
low at this time.


.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

230/232

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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