Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
258 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-160800-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
258 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Scattered shower and thunderstorm chances today, mainly south of
Interstate 44 and east of Highway 65. No severe weather expected
however expect lightning and locally heavy rainfall.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. No severe weather expected however expect
lightning and locally heavy rainfall.
Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees from Wednesday
through the weekend.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Burchfield
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
719 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-161230-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-White-
Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-Hardin-
Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-
Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-
Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-
Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-
Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
719 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /819 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025/
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Illinois, southwest
Indiana, western Kentucky and southeast Missouri.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected into early this
evening. A storm or two may briefly become strong to severe with
gusty to damaging winds the main threat. Torrential rainfall will
accompany any storms and flash flooding may develop where any
storms persist.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon
through Monday. Isolated strong to severe storms are possible and
all storms will be capable of brief torrential rainfall.
Afternoon heat indices will climb into the 100 to 105 degree range
throughout the Quad State Wednesday through Saturday
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
JGG
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
521 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-161030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
521 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Fog is possible across southeast Kansas early this morning.
Heat indices may rise to near 100 over parts of central Kansas this
afternoon.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
Thunderstorm chances will return from Wednesday night through
Saturday. A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible
Wednesday night and Thursday along with locally heavy rain.
Heat indices will climb above 100 degrees on Wednesday and again
Saturday through Monday across much of the area.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Through tonight.
There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Several chances for storms Wednesday:
- Early morning storms possible for NW MO & NE KS.
- Afternoon storms possible, mainly north of the MO River. This
round heavily dependent on how morning activity evolves.
* Hot and humid Wednesday with heat index values of 100-105, mainly
south of Highway 36.
- Extent of high heat dependent on how storms evolve earlier in
the day.
* Several additional rounds of storms possible from Wednesday night
into Thursday afternoon.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
503 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Primarily southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.
HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma through northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.
DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
ONSET...Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms ongoing this morning across southeast
Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas will likely decrease in
coverage by mid to late morning. Additional isolated to scattered
thunderstorms are forecast for this afternoon primarily southeast
of Interstate 44. Locally heavy rainfall remains possible through
today across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Temperatures will trend upward today with lesser storm coverage
during the afternoon. Heat index values near 100 degrees are
forecast for portions of eastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY through MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances.
The front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying
from late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100
to 105 degrees will be common during the afternoons across a
large portion of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
Any outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress
conditions.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-160915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Storms moving into north-central Kansas around midnight tonight may
pose a brief risk for damaging winds before weakening.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Heat indices 100 to 105 degrees are possible Wednesday, most likely
along and south of Interstate 70.
Strong to severe storms are also possible Wednesday into Wednesday
night, with damaging winds the main hazard.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
250 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-160800-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
250 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon. Locally heavy
rainfall is possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Thunderstorms are possible every day, mainly during the afternoon.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Kimble
