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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
530 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
530 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the
  area this morning as a cold front moves through the region.
  Cloud to ground lightning will be the main potential hazard.

  Rainfall overnight could become heavy along the Missouri-
  Arkansas border especially over south central Missouri

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

  Additional rain is possible Saturday into Sunday along the
  Missouri and Arkansas state line, where a wave of tropical
  moisture will slowly glide along the stalled-out cold front. A
  limited flood risk will be possible for areas along the
  Missouri-Arkansas border in south central Missouri.

  Thunderstorms will be possible late Monday into Tuesday with
  the approach of the next frontal system. A few of these storms
  could be strong to severe over central Missouri on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Gaede

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1045 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1045 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018


...HEAVY RAINFALL LIKELY TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Significant.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Along and South of Interstate 40.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Widespread rain showers along with isolated to scattered
thunderstorms will continue to expand across Eastern Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas as a cold front makes its way into the region.
The greater thunderstorm potential looks to be across Southeast
Oklahoma into Western Arkansas with more isolated potentials for
Northeast Oklahoma through this afternoon. Isolated thunderstorm
potentials are possible tonight across the region. Severe weather
is unlikely with this activity.

Heavy to locally very heavy rainfall is expected across the region
through tonight with the greater potentials along and south of
Interstate 40. This heavy rainfall will likely result in some
flash flooding and a Flash Flood Watch is in effect for much of
Eastern Oklahoma and all of Northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Widespread shower and thunderstorm activity is expected to continue
across much of eastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas through
Saturday night as the cold front slowly pushes southward across the
area. Heavy rainfall will continue through Saturday night and into
Sunday morning. An axis of three to six inch rainfall amounts is
expected across southeastern Oklahoma and west central Arkansas
through Sunday morning with one to three inches possible across
northeastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Locally heavier amounts
are likely across southeastern Oklahoma. Flash flooding will be
possible into Sunday morning, and minor to moderate mainstem river
flooding is possible depending on where the heaviest rainfall occurs.

An active weather pattern will continue across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas into late next week. Moist and unstable air will
remain over the area, and a couple cold fronts are expected to move
into the area on Tuesday and again on Thursday. Thunderstorms will be
possible each day from Sunday through Thursday but organized severe
weather is not expected at this time during this period.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
503 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-221000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
503 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A chance of thunderstorms is forecast along and ahead of a cold
front today and early this evening. A few strong to marginally
severe thunderstorms will be possible, mainly in the Evansville
Tri State region. Damaging wind gusts would be the main
thunderstorm hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A chance of thunderstorms is forecast for all or a portion of the
area Monday through Wednesday. The greatest chances will be with
a warm front Monday, and a cold front Tuesday night. A few strong
storms cannot be ruled out, but the primary concern will be heavy
rainfall as we receive multiple rounds of precipitation from the
weekend through the first half of next week. Some flooding issues
cannot be ruled out at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
435 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-220945-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
435 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Rain showers will taper off early Friday morning before dry
 conditions return and persist through the weekend.

More detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

 Scattered showers and storms will return to the area late Monday
 through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
423 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-221000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
423 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop during the day
and overnight, especially across areas along and north of the
interstate 30/highway 67 corridor. Heavy rainfall, with a
corresponding flash flood potential, will be a threat late
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday Through Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, some producing heavy rainfall will
continue to affect the same areas Saturday through Sunday.
The flash flooding threat will continue through at least early
Sunday. Unsettled weather conditions will continue into early next
week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation may be required late tonight through Sunday
morning.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
418 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-221200-
Adams IL-Audrain MO-Bond IL-Boone MO-Brown IL-Calhoun IL-Callaway MO-
Clinton IL-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Fayette IL-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
Greene IL-Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Jersey IL-Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-
Macoupin IL-Madison IL-Madison MO-Marion IL-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-
Monroe IL-Monroe MO-Montgomery IL-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike IL-
Pike MO-Ralls MO-Randolph IL-Reynolds MO-Saint Charles MO-
Saint Clair IL-Saint Francois MO-Saint Louis City MO-Saint Louis MO-
Sainte Genevieve MO-Shelby MO-Warren MO-Washington IL-Washington MO-
418 AM CDT Fri Sep 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across most of the area today, and
a chance of thunderstorms continues tonight across parts of southeast
Missouri and southwest Illinois. A few strong storms capable of
producing gusty winds in excess of 40 mph and small hail are
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms over parts of the area from late
Sunday night through Tuesday night. There is a slight chance of
thunderstorms again next Thursday for parts of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated through tonight.

$$

Carney

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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