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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
806 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-180115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
806 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms will remain possible overnight, mainly
across extreme southeastern Kansas and southwestern Missouri.

Frequent lightning and brief heavy rainfall can be expected from
these storms. A few storms may also produce damaging wind gusts to
60 mph and hail up to the size of nickels through late this
evening.

A localized flash flood risk will also persist through late
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There will be a limited threat of lightning daily in the
afternoon through the end of the week. After another very warm
day on Tuesday, a bit cooler weather is in store Wednesday with
hot and humid conditions returning for the end of the work week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
804 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-171100-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence-
Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-
Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-
Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-
Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha-
804 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

An isolated strong storm is possible tonight. The main hazards
will be gusty winds, heavy downpours, and lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A few strong to severe storms will be possible Tuesday as a cold
front influences the region. Damaging winds and heavy rainfall
will be the main threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
752 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
752 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorm development will remain possible this
evening across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas, although the
overall development potential will diminish with sunset. Wind
gusts to 50 mph and brief, locally heavy rainfall will be possible
with the strongest storms.

Additional thunderstorms may develop after midnight mainly across
areas along and north of Interstate 40.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...No Hazards.
SUNDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The pattern will remain unsettled into mid week, with thunderstorm
chances continuing through Wednesday. There will be a continued
threat for strong downburst winds with the strongest afternoon
storms.

Hot and humid conditions will continue this week, likely increasing
late in the week as the upper level ridge builds into the area. A
Heat Advisory has been posted for parts of eastern Oklahoma to the
south of Highway 412, as well as west central Arkansas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
406 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-171200-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
406 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into the
evening hours. Widespread severe weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There is a chance of thunderstorms for portions of the area from
Tuesday night through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

$$

Kanofsky

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
349 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-172100-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
349 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for east central...north
central and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms today across portions of
north central Kansas. The stronger thunderstorms may produce
winds gusts to 40 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms across north
central KS Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at...
http://www.weather.gov/top/sitrep

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
342 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-172045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
342 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are possible this evening. If so, they will
be capable of gusty winds to 50 mph and heavy rainfall rates. There
is a better chance for thunderstorms across central Kansas overnight
with the main risk being locally heavy rainfall and minor lowland
flooding.

Heat indices may hover near 100 degrees in some areas through early
this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Periodic chances for thunderstorms will continue through Wednesday
night. Some of the storms could become locally severe with damaging
winds to 60 mph and quarter size hail on Tuesday afternoon and
evening. Otherwise, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds will
remain possible with any storms that develop through Wednesday
evening.

Heat indices may hover around 100 degrees during the afternoon hours
on Tuesday and Wednesday across southern Kansas.

Heat indices from 100 to 104 are likely in most areas Thursday
afternoon and around 100 across southern Kansas Friday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
246 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-171000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Newton-Searcy-Stone-Izard-
Independence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-Jackson-Logan-Conway-
Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-Polk-Montgomery-Garland-
Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-
Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-
Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
246 PM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms will continue through late evening. Some
of these storms may strong to briefly severe and will be capable
of producing gusty winds, dangerous lightning and localized heavy
rainfall. Isolated flash flooding will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Sunday

Thunderstorms will become a bit more scattered and common by the
middle of this week, with the best chances for seeing thunderstorms
during the afternoon hours Monday through Thursday. While organized
severe weather is not expected this far out, a few strong storms may
be possible. Chances for thunderstorms decrease by the end of the
week, though some isolated thunderstorms will remain possible each
afternoon Friday through Sunday.

Also, heat index values will remain elevated through the week.
Most locations will see heat index values in the upper 90s to
just over 100 degrees, while some areas may see heat index values
exceed 105 degrees in the afternoons.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today and tonight.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Cooper/59

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
416 AM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-171000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
416 AM CDT Mon Jul 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Heat index values will top out from 100 to 105 this afternoon over
much of southeast Missouri and western Kentucky.

In addition, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will be possible
this afternoon. Heavy downpours, gusty winds and deadly lightning
would be the main thunderstorm hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The chance of thunderstorms returns Thursday into Saturday.
However, many locations will stay storm free. While a few
stronger storms with damaging winds cannot be ruled out, the main
concerns include lightning and locally heavy rain.

Heat indices are forecast to top the century mark Friday
afternoon.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation should not be needed.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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