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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
511 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-171015-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
511 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Aside from a few showers and thunderstorms possible today and
tonight, no organized severe weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

An upper-level disturbance moving across the region on Friday ahead
of a cold front may allow for an increased severe weather threat
across the ArkLaTex during the late afternoon into the evening hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
522 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-171030-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
522 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A Marginal Risk of severe storms covers western Oklahoma and
western north Texas this evening into the overnight hours. If
storms over the Texas Panhandle can maintain strength after
sunset, they will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and
possibly marginally severe size hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Severe storms will be possible across western and northern
portions of Oklahoma both late Tuesday and again Wednesday
night. Severe storms appear possible over southeast parts of
Oklahoma on Friday.

.Fire Weather...
Near critical fire weather conditions are expected Tuesday and
again Thursday across the driest parts of western Oklahoma and
adjacent parts of Texas.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
515 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
515 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Late Tonight.

DISCUSSION...
A warm front will begin to lift north across the area late
tonight. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late
tonight to the north of the advancing front. Elevated instability
will be sufficient for large hail with the strongest storms,
mainly across eastern Oklahoma.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms will continue into Tuesday morning with a
limited severe weather threat. Low thunderstorm chances will also
exist across parts of northeast Oklahoma and far northwest
Arkansas late Tuesday night and Wednesday night as a frontal
boundary remains in the vicinity of the Oklahoma/Kansas border.

A better chance of thunderstorms, possibly severe, will occur
late Friday into Friday night as a cold front moves southeast
across the area. Any lingering storms will come to an end during
the day Saturday.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
407 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-170915-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-East Cameron-
Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton-
Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
407 AM CDT Mon May 16 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south
central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and
southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A few showers or thunderstorms will be possible, mainly across the
lower Atchafalaya Basin and the Acadiana region through this evening.
While the probability of any organized severe weather is low, any
pulse type storms will be capable of producing isolated strong wind
gusts or hail. Locally heavy rainfall is also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Tuesday will see rain chances will diminish, with hot temperatures
returning areawide. Daytime highs will be from around 5 to 10 degrees
above normal. Corresponding heat index values will be in the upper
90s to around 100 degrees each day. A break in this weather pattern
looks to develop late Saturday into Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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