Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
455 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected through tonight.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain
Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.
MONDAY...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Mid and upper level ridging will remain over the south central U.S.
through Thursday, resulting in fair, but unseasonably warm weather.
By late this week, a strong upper level disturbance and associated
surface cold front will shift from the western states into the
Plains. Thunderstorm chances will increase across eastern Oklahoma
and northwestern Arkansas late Friday, with a couple rounds of
thunderstorms possible through Saturday night across the area. The
combination of atmospheric instability and wind shear will support a
severe weather threat late Friday through Saturday, with the
greatest risk on Saturday, when those parameters are expected to be
strongest.
High pressure will build into the Southern Plains on Sunday behind
the cold front, returning fair weather to the region with more
seasonal temperatures. Gusty southerly wind returns to the area
Monday and Tuesday ahead of the next weather system, which will
result in a warming trend ealry next week.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
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