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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
459 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-191200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
459 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

A Heat Advisory is in effect today. Temperatures this afternoon
are expected to climb into the upper 90s to near 100 degrees
across the Four State Region, and when combined with the humidity,
will result in heat indices climbing to between 105 and 110 degrees.
Those that must be outside this afternoon are reminded to wear
lightweight, loose fitting clothing, drink plenty of water, limit
time outdoors, and spend time in air conditioned facilities.
In addition, there will be a chance of afternoon and early evening
showers and thunderstorms. The more favorable area for this
precipitation will be the southern third of Northeast Texas, and
portions of North Central and East Central Louisiana into South
Central Arkansas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

The heat will continue into at least Monday with a Heat Advisory
in effect through 7 pm Monday. Otherwise, isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms will be possible through much of the
extended period of the forecast with the highest chances across
the eastern half of the Four State Region. Precipitation coverage
may pick up by late in the work week due to a disturbance moving
our way from the north and west.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

13

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
440 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
440 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.


THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.


DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA... Mostly eastern Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.


DISCUSSION...
A few thunderstorms may linger into the evening as residual boundaries will
remain across far eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Severe weather
is not expected.

Dangerous heat and humidity will persist into the evening across
most of eastern Oklahoma. Heat index values between 105 and 110 will
continue into the early evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Monday and Tuesday will be hot and humid with heat advisories
needed for portions of the area both days. The chance for showers
and storms will increase by midweek as a front settles into the
region and provides a focus for rain. Below normal temperatures
are expected beginning Wednesday and continuing through the end
of the week.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-191100-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
330 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.
The heat and humidity will persist into the evening hours when heat
index values will fall below 100.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Heat index values will once again reach 105 to 110 in many locations
Monday and Tuesday. Thereafter, a slight reduction in humidity will
reduce the heat index although it may still climb above 100 in many
locations through the end of the week.

The next chance for thunderstorms will be Thursday and Thursday night
when a disturbance clips the Red River and Northeast Texas. Severe
weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
300 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-
192000-
Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry-
Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin-
Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
300 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central
Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana, and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will linger through sunset
across the region. With abundant moisture in place, heavy
rainfall will be possible with the stronger thunderstorms, as
well as brief gusty winds and frequent cloud to ground lightning.
Outside of the rainfall, hot and humid conditions can be expected
through the remainder of the afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A persistent weather pattern will maintain hot and humid days and
warm and muggy nights with a daily chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Heat index values for Monday and Tuesday afternoons
will exceed 105 degrees in most inland locations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
258 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025>041-192000-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-
Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-Sharkey-
258 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, and north
central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

DANGEROUS HEAT
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Monday

Monday, caution is advised for possible dangerous heat as heat
index values peak near or just above 105 degrees. Heat exhaustion
will be possible with outdoor activity.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

Dangerous heat near or above 105 degrees is possible for extreme
southeast Arkansas, portions of northeast Louisiana, portions of
west central Mississippi, and all of north central Mississippi on
Tuesday. Heat exhaustion will be possible with strenuous outdoor
activities.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
238 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-192145-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
238 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Afternoon heat indices may reach 105 degrees across the Mid-
South Monday through Wednesday especially along and west of the
Mississippi River. A heat advisory has been issued.

A few strong storms capable of gusty winds will be possible late
this afternoon and tonight...mainly across the western Midsouth
counties.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Afternoon heat indices may reach 105 degrees across the Mid-
South Monday through Wednesday especially along and west of the
Mississippi River. Heat advisories may be needed.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

$$

JAB

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
234 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
234 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon through Tonight

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the
evening hours. While a few of the thunderstorms could be strong to
possibly severe, widespread severe weather is not anticipated.

Heat index values will range from 100 to 105 degrees across much
of the region this afternoon. After storms dissipate this
evening, there will be small chances of thunderstorms toward the
Missouri border after midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday Through Saturday

Chances of thunderstorms will continue through the middle of the
week, especially during the afternoon and evening. Gusty winds and
locally heavy rainfall will be possible, but chances of severe
weather will remain low.

Heat index values could reach 105 to 110 degrees by Tuesday and
Wednesday in most of Arkansas except parts of the Ozark and Ouachita
Mountains of the north and west.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Given only spotty severe weather, spotter activation will not be
needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1202 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191715-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1202 PM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a Marginal Risk of severe storms today, mainly south and
east of a line from Erick to Weatherford to Stillwater Oklahoma.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing wind gusts to 70
mph, heavy downpours, and hail up to the size of quarters. While
some weaker storms may continue early this afternoon... the most
likely time for severe weather will be between 5 pm and midnight.

.Heat...
Heat indices of 105 to around 110 are expected this afternoon
across much of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
Storms will be possible Monday evening across parts of northwest
Oklahoma. Thunderstorm chances will return to the area Tuesday
evening and continue through the rest of the week.

.Heat...
Afternoon heat indices of 100 to near 110 degrees will continue
across much of the area Monday and Tuesday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and
follow our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1104 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-190415-
Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas-Mississippi Sound-
Lake Borgne-Chandeleur Sound-Breton Sound-
Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River
LA out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River
to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM-
Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island out
20 NM-
Coastal waters from Port Fourchon Louisiana to Lower Atchafalaya
River LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal waters from Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to
Port Fourchon Louisiana from 20 to 60 NM-
Coastal Waters from Stake Island LA to Southwest Pass of the
Mississippi River from 20 to 60 nm-
Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island
Louisiana out 20 to 60 NM-Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-
East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-St. Tammany-Iberville-
West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-Assumption-
St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-
Upper Jefferson-Orleans-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-
Upper Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-
Lower Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-
Southern Tangipahoa-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
1104 AM CDT Sun Aug 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southeast
Louisiana...South Mississippi and the adjacent coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected today and some of these
could become strong producing gusty winds, frequent lightning and
locally heavy rainfall. There is a marginal risk of excessive
rainfall occurring today over southern Mississippi and southeast
Louisiana.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Scattered thunderstorms are expected each day during the period.
Some of these storms could become strong and produce gusty winds,
frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE