weather.gov     
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
NWS Homepage

Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
456 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-261000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
456 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Early morning through late afternoon.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Mid morning through late afternoon.

DISCUSSION...
Numerous thunderstorms will spread eastward across eastern Oklahoma
and through western Arkansas by late Sunday afternoon.  The strongest
storms will pose a risk of locally damaging winds.  Additionally,
areas of heavy rainfall may also develop.  Recent excessive rainfall
has left much of northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas prone to
rapid onset flash flooding.  Any locally higher rainfall amounts
today will quickly raise flash flooding concerns.  Storms are
expected to end across northwest Arkansas and southeast Oklahoma
by early Sunday evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Heat index values of 105 to 110 degrees will be common Monday
afternoon ahead of a cold front, which will be across southeast
Kansas by Monday evening.  Strong and severe storms are expected
to develop along the front as is moves into northeast Oklahoma
Monday evening.  The storms will continue into the overnight hours
as the front pushes eastward.  Areas of heavy rainfall also appear
likely which will again raise flooding concerns.  Thunderstorms
will focus more southward Tuesday and Wednesday as the cold front
makes slow progress.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
753 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-261730-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
753 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain...
Thunderstorms with heavy rainfall could lead to localized flash
flooding before the rain ends by midday. The stronger storms this
morning will also produce wind gusts to around 50 mph with some
potential of small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain...
Thunderstorm chances will increase again Monday night and
continue through Wednesday. Organized severe storms are unlikely,
but heavy rainfall could lead to localized flooding or flash
flooding during this period. Low chances of thunderstorms will
return late week and into the weekend.

.Heat...
Heat indices of 100 to 110 are possible across portions of
Oklahoma and north Texas on Monday.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
608 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-261100-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
608 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will again be possible today,
especially over portions of extreme Eastern Texas, North
Louisiana, Southwest Arkansas, and Southeast Oklahoma, as an upper
level disturbance shifts southeast through the area. While the
stronger storms will be capable of producing locally gusty winds
and brief heavy rainfall, an isolated severe thunderstorm threat
can not be ruled out this afternoon across Southeast Oklahoma and
the northern sections of Southwest Arkansas, where the remnants of
a complex of showers and thunderstorms this morning over Northern
Oklahoma, shift southeast into Eastern Oklahoma and Central
Arkansas. Damaging winds will be the primary threat across the
northern sections of the region this afternoon, before these
storms diminish this evening with the loss of heating and the
departure of the upper level disturbance.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

While isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible Monday
mainly over the eastern sections of Northcentral Louisiana, the
heat will return as an upper level ridge of high pressure builds
back east into the region from the Southern Plains. Afternoon
temperatures are expected to climb into the mid to upper 90s
across Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, East Texas, and
Western Louisiana, and when combined with the humidity, heat
indices will range from 105 to 110 degrees. An upper level
disturbance will drop southeast into the area Tuesday, with
scattered showers and thunderstorms expected across much of the
region except Deep East Texas. Afternoon temperatures are still
expected to climb into the mid and upper 90s Tuesday across Lower
East Texas and Western Louisiana, with resultant heat indices
near or in excess of 105 degrees. However, additional scattered
showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday near a weak
surface front that will be reinforced into the area, which will
result in cooler temperatures areawide. Some of the stronger
storms Tuesday and Wednesday may also produce locally gusty winds
and brief heavy rainfall, before becoming more isolated to widely
scattered Thursday and Friday as the weak front drifts slowly
southwest through the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency managers, spotter networks, and amateur
radio operators, should not be needed today or tonight.

$$

15

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
513 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-261015-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
513 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe storms with torrential rain will gradually end
from west to east during the day. Areal flooding from the heavy
rain will likely continue for some areas of central and south
central Kansas into at least the afternoon as water gradually
subsides.

Some rivers in central Kansas are, or will be going into flood.
Check the latest river flood warnings and statements for more
details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

River flooding in central Kansas will likely linger into mid week.
Check the latest river flood warnings and statements for more details.

Severe storms are expected late Monday afternoon and evening as a
cold front moves across the area. The greatest threat will be east
of a line from Eureka to Sedan. Very large hail and damaging winds
are the greatest threats. A tornado or two are also possible.

Heat indices of 100 to 105 are forecast Monday afternoon roughly
south of a line from Harper to Winfield to Howard to Parsons.

The next round of storms are forecast on Friday and Saturday. Check
later outlooks for updated information.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight, but may be
needed late Monday afternoon and evening in southeast Kansas.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Howerton

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
355 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-260900-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
355 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

  A complex of showers and thunderstorms will push into far
  southeast Kansas by sunrise. An isolated strong to severe storm
  may be able to produce damaging winds up to 60 mph as the
  storms move east into the region.

  Additional showers and thunderstorms may develop through the
  day today. An isolated strong to severe storm is possible
  across the area if enough instability can develop. Heavy
  rainfall may lead to isolated flooding across the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

  A strong cold front will move through the area Monday night
  with a risk for strong to severe storms. Highest potential for
  storms will occur from southeast Kansas into western Missouri.

Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible later this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Titus

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
319 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-261000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
319 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will be possible through late this
afternoon into the early evening hours. Some strong to briefly
severe thunderstorms could be seen...with the best chances for
seeing the strongest storms across western into northwest sections
of the state. Strong winds and small hail will be the main threats
with the strongest storms. Locally heavy rainfall will also be
possible with any storm...which may lead to an isolated flash
flood threat. The chances for showers and thunderstorms decrease
late tonight into early Monday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday Through Saturday

Chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast
through Tuesday night. While the overall threat for seeing severe
weather will be low...a few strong storms could be seen. Locally
heavy rainfall will also be possible...which may lead to an
isolated flash flood threat. Chances for showers and thunderstorms
decrease by the middle and latter portion of the week.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

62/65

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
310 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-260815-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
310 AM CDT Sun Aug 25 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
A weakening storm complex will move towards the Red River Valley this
morning. Dissipating storms and gusty winds from storm outflow could
affect areas North of a Decatur to Emory line through the morning
hours. Otherwise, isolated storms may redevelop southeast of a
Cameron to Athens line this afternoon. Severe weather is not expected.
However, stronger storms could produce gusty downburst winds and
isolated areas of heavy rainfall and minor flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Heat index values may reach or exceed 105 across parts of the area
today, mainly across Central Texas. Heat indices will be higher on
Monday and generally range 106 to 113 degrees across most of the
area.

After a brief lull in storm chances on Monday, low thunderstorm
chances will return to the area mainly along and north of I-20 late
Monday night through Tuesday, with chances across much of the area on
Wednesday. Some storms may become strong to severe with localized,
damaging downburst winds, frequent lightning, and small hail as the
primary hazards.

In addition, copious moisture along a weak cold front near the Red
River Valley Tuesday night through Wednesday night will combine with
slow-moving thunderstorms to result in a stripe of very heavy
rainfall that could result in potential flooding from the Red River
Valley to near Interstate 20.

Low storm chances will linger through the rest of the week into early
next weekend. Too many uncertainties exist to determine any risk for
severe weather or flooding at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE