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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
455 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
455 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Far southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After midnight.

DISCUSSION...

Showers with a few embedded thunderstorms are expected to develop
after midnight along the Red River valley. Some of these storms may
graze across far southeast Oklahoma. Severe weather is not expected
due to weak instability.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY...No Hazards.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Thunderstorms are expected to develop along an advancing cold
front Tuesday afternoon, most likely south of I-44 from east
central Oklahoma into northwest Arkansas. Some of these storms
may become severe with hail and damaging winds the primary threats
as they track southeast with the front across southeast Oklahoma
and west central Arkansas during the late afternoon hours.

A cold front will bring chances for thunderstorms Friday night and
Saturday. Instability will be weak, and thus severe weather is
not expected with this front.

A strong upper level storm system and cold front will bring strong
to severe thunderstorms to the region Sunday night.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
259 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-152000-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
259 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

A few thunderstorms are possible across southeast Kansas late
tonight. Strong or severe storms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A few thunderstorms may linger across southeast Kansas Tuesday
morning. Strong or severe storms are not expected.

Shower and thunderstorm chances may increase by the weekend. While
there remains quite a bit of uncertainty, there is at least a chance
for a few strong storms across generally the eastern half of
Kansas. Widespread severe weather appears unlikely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
249 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-151000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
249 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase over south Arkansas
tonight, as a warm front lifts slowly northward. Organized severe
weather is not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Sunday

Showers and thunderstorms will increase in coverage Tuesday and
Tuesday night as a new cold front approaches Arkansas. A few
strong storms will be possible, but severe weather chances will
remain limited. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible across
southern and southeastern Arkansas.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

Cooper/67/44/65

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
245 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-151215-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
245 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There will be a chance for thunderstorms tonight across much of North
and Central Texas. While severe weather is not expected, cloud-to-
ground lightning strikes will be a hazard with all thunderstorms.

Patchy fog will be possible late tonight and towards daybreak
Tuesday east of Interstate 35. Visibility may be reduced to less
than three miles at times.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms will be likely Tuesday afternoon and evening as a cold
front sweeps across North and Central Texas. Some thunderstorms may
be severe, with damaging winds and large hail being the main threats.
The greatest threat for severe weather will be north of Interstate 20
and east of Interstate 35.

Thunderstorm chances will return during the upcoming weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1208 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

ARZ050-051-059-060-070-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-108>112-124-125-151715-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Miller-McCurtain-Red River-
Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-
1208 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Arkansas, southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A series of disturbances along a warm front will push across the
area with thunderstorms likely by tonight. Heavy rainfall is
anticipated, and localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Thunderstorms will move across the area on Tuesday bringing heavy
rain and a risk of flash flooding. A few of the storms ahead of a
cold front on Tuesday may become severe with damaging winds and
large hail possible. In addition, an isolated tornado cannot be
ruled out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today, but may be needed on
Tuesday.

$$

12

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1208 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

ARZ061-071>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-TXZ126-136>138-149>153-
165>167-151715-
Nevada-Lafayette-Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-
Lincoln-De Soto-Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-
Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-Marion-Smith-Gregg-
Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-
San Augustine-
1208 PM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

A series of disturbances along a warm front will push across the
area with thunderstorms likely. Heavy rainfall is anticipated,
and localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Thunderstorms will move across the area on Tuesday bringing heavy
rain and a risk of flash flooding. A few of the storms late on
Tuesday may become strong with gusty winds and hail possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today, but may be needed on
Tuesday.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1125 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-151630-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1125 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
Isolated storms are possible across far southeast Oklahoma late
tonight. No severe storms are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorms will be possible across mainly south-central and
southeast Oklahoma on Tuesday as a cold front moves through. A
few of the storms across far southeast Oklahoma could briefly
become severe late Tuesday afternoon and early evening.

Thunderstorms will be possible again mainly east of Interstate-35
Friday night and early Saturday. Storm chances increase Sunday
into early Monday across most of the region. Storms on Sunday may
reach severe levels.

.Strong Winds...
A cold front will move over Oklahoma and western north Texas on
Tuesday. Strong northerly winds will be seen behind this front
with to 40 mph possible.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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