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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
425 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
425 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Far Southeast Oklahoma; West Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing...ending by 7 PM.

DISCUSSION...

There is a limited risk of severe storms thru about 7 PM from far
southeast Oklahoma into west central Arkansas. Large hail and
damaging winds would be the main threats. The threat will shift
east of the area with a cold front this evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY thru WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm and Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Showers and storms will begin to spread back into the region
Sunday night with widespread showers and storms from late
Monday through Wednesday. Periods of heavy rainfall are likely,
with accumulations through mid next week likely to become
excessive for some locations. The potential for flash flooding and
main-stem river flooding will increase.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Springfield MO
253 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-222000-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
253 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue this afternoon and
evening, especially along and south of the Interstate 44
corridor. Small hail, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall are
possible.

A few severe storms will be possible in southcentral Missouri,
closer to the West Plains area. Large hail up to the size of
quarters and damaging winds will be possible there.

Minor flooding of low water crossings, creeks and rivers is
possible this afternoon and evening.

Gusty north winds up to 30 mph will be possible this evening into
the early overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected starting Monday
and lasting off and on through mid week. Prolonged periods of
rain could lead to a flooding risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Burchfield

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
241 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-221945-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
241 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
A few thunderstorms are possible across far southeast Oklahoma
tonight, however severe weather is not anticipated.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
There will be thunderstorm chances across the area Sunday night
through Wednesday night. There is a marginal risk of severe storms
Monday afternoon and evening across north central Texas including
Clay and Archer Counties. Otherwise, despite widespread showers
and thunderstorms expected at times, the severe weather potential
is low.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
233 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-221945-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
233 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Storms will become more widespread through today into tonight,
first across northwestern and northern Arkansas, and spreading
southeast with time. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary
threats with some tornado potential with any isolated storms.
Localized flooding will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday Through Friday

Showers and thunderstorms will exit toward the Gulf Coast on Sunday,
with precipitation becoming more isolated to scattered through
Monday. Another round of storms is expected Tuesday into Thursday.

While spotty severe weather is possible through Wednesday, the main
concern will be areas of heavy rain. The forecast calls for two to
more than five inches of rain, with the highest amounts in southwest
sections of the state. Given this much rain, flash flooding and
rises on area rivers are becoming more likely. This could be a
significant high water event in parts of the state, so Arkansans are
advised to continue monitoring this developing situation.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will be needed today and tonight.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

232/70

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
228 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-221145-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
228 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop along a
cold front later this afternoon, mostly across Central and Eastern
North Texas. Large hail and damaging winds are possible with this
activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Thunderstorm chances will continue Monday through Wednesday of next
week, with locally heavy rainfall leading to minor flooding across
Central and East Texas. Additional instances of strong to severe
storms will be possible, but it`s yet too early to pinpoint
timing/location at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
612 AM CDT Sat May 21 2022

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-221115-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
612 AM CDT Sat May 21 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected by late afternoon
into the evening and overnight hours as a strong cold front shifts
into the region. Some storms may be strong to severe with damaging
winds and hail possible, along with a non-zero tornado threat that
cannot be completely ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Additional thunderstorms will be possible through the remainder of
the weekend into much of next week as the cold front will stall near
the coast and lift back northward Monday as a warm front. Meanwhile,
multiple upper level disturbances will transition across the region
through mid week and bring locally heavy rainfall with some storms.
These periods of heavy rainfall may present some possible flooding
concerns through the middle of next week with total event rainfall
amounts generally expected to range between 3-6 inches along with
isolated totals possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel, amateur radio
operators, and storm spotters may be needed today and tonight.

$$

19

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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