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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1257 PM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1257 PM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...West of Highway 75 in Northeast and East Central Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
North to northeasterly winds will continue to gust to 20 mph this
afternoon across parts of eastern Oklahoma and combined with
minimum relative humidities from 30 to 40 percent, will lead to a
limited risk of rapid fire spread for areas along and west of
Highway 75 in northeast and east central Oklahoma. Conditions will
improve by early evening.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Winter Weather Potential.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Accumulating ice, snow and sleet remain likely for portions of
eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas Tuesday and into Tuesday
night. Showers are expected to move into parts of southeast
Oklahoma Tuesday morning and expand northward during the day. With
a cold airmass already in place, precipitation will likely begin
as a wintry mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain across all except
far southeast Oklahoma. However, as warmer air moves into the
area from the south, areas especially along and south of
Interstate 40 should see all rain during the afternoon hours.
Drizzle and freezing drizzle will be the most likely precipitation
types Tuesday night, as the mid levels begin to dry out from the
southwest.

Uncertainties remain with the evolution of surface temperatures
and also how quickly the mid levels will dry out, both of which
will impact precipitation types and timing their transitions at
any one location. At this time, the highest ice accumulations look
to be within the higher terrain areas of far northwest Arkansas,
while the maximum snow and sleet accumulations look most likely to
the northwest of Interstate 44. Stay up-to-date with latest
updates as details continue to be refined.

The middle to latter part of the work week should be fairly quiet,
but another storm system on Saturday will bring the potential for
scattered thunderstorms, locally heavy rain, and perhaps a few
severe thunderstorms.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor latest forecasts as ice, snow, and sleet
accumulations could create hazardous travel and perhaps isolated
power outages, especially across parts of far northwest Arkansas.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
210 PM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-191100-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
210 PM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Through tonight, the threat of hazardous weather is low at this
time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday Through Sunday

Rainfall will develop during the day Tuesday, as a storm system
approaches the region. The rain could be mixed with light wintry
precipitation during the afternoon over far northwest Arkansas.
At this time, no significant impacts are expected.

Several more storm systems will affect the state through Sunday,
bringing multiple rounds of rain. The rain will be heavy at times.
The excessive rainfall is expected to slow or halt the fall of river
levels that were significantly impacted by last weeks heavy rain. In
addition to potentially elevating river levels across central and eastern
Arkansas, flash flooding will be a concern.

A strong storm system will affect the state this weekend, and could
bring the threat of severe thunderstorms on Saturday.

Stay informed by monitoring the latest forecasts and outlooks
from your National Weather Service forecast offices.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

$$

57

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
116 PM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-191930-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
116 PM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Areas of light snow and flurries are expected this afternoon across
central Kansas, roughly north and west of a from McPherson to
Hutchinson. Accumulations should range from a trace to a dusting of
snow.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Widespread light to moderate snow is expected to spread northeast
across the region Tuesday through Tuesday evening. The latest
trends suggest accumulations of two to four inches are possible,
with some locally higher amounts northeast of Wichita. A rain and
snow mix may limit accumulations across far southeast Kansas.
Furthermore, the snow could mix with and eventually change to
patchy freezing drizzle for a time Tuesday evening. A winter weather
advisory may eventually be needed. Please check back for later
updates.

Another couple rounds of a wintry weather are possible Friday
through Saturday night. Considerable uncertainty exists surrounding
this period so stay tuned.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated this afternoon or tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

$$

Ketcham Howerton

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1148 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-191800-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1148 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight...

No hazardous weather is expected.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

.Winter Weather...
Snow, sleet, freezing rain, and freezing drizzle will be possible
Tuesday across portions of Oklahoma and western north Texas.
Snowfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches will be possible across portions
of western and northern Oklahoma.

Ice accumulations of up to a tenth of an inch are possible. The
highest amounts currently are expected along and near the
Interstate 44 corridor from near Lawton to Oklahoma City and
Chandler. The accumulations could lead to some impacts across the
parts of the area, including slick roadways.

Uncertainties with locations and amounts remain, so check for the
latest forecast.

.Thunderstorms...
A storm system will bring a chance of thunderstorms to the area
Saturday. A few strong storms will be possible.


Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1130 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-191200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-
Grant-Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-
Morris-Cass-Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-
Panola-Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
1130 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Arkansas, southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest
Louisiana, southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Scattered to numerous showers will develop this evening over
Southeast Texas and Southern Louisiana, and quickly spread north
across much of East Texas, North Louisiana, and possibly extreme
Southern Arkansas overnight. However, no hazardous weather is
expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday...

Showers will be widespread across all of the region Tuesday, north
of a warm front that will slowly lift north into the Lower Toledo
Bend Country northeast into Northcentral Louisiana and Southeast
Arkansas Tuesday night. As this front approaches these areas
Tuesday night, scattered thunderstorms will be possible near and
south of the front over Northcentral Louisiana, with the
environment favorable for the potential for isolated strong to
severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and large hail.

While the showers and thunderstorms will diminish from west to
east Wednesday morning with the passage of a cold front,
additional scattered to numerous showers will increase once again
over much of the region Thursday and Friday, north of another warm
front that will lift north through much of the area Friday and
Saturday. A strong upper level disturbance will eject northeast
across the Southern Plains Saturday, and will focus scattered
showers and thunderstorms areawide. Given the warm and unstable
air mass expected to be in place, some of these storms Saturday
may become severe. In addition, widespread two to in excess of four
inches of rain is expected over much of the region this week,
which may result in minor flooding of low lying, poor drainage
areas, given that grounds remain nearly saturated in wake of
above normal rainfall that has fallen over the last several
months.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of emergency management personnel...amateur radio
operators...and storm spotters will not be needed through tonight.

$$

15

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
426 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-191030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
426 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited excessive cold risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Wind chills will be in the single digits to low teens early this
  morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

  Another winter storm system will bring a mix of winter
  precipitation to the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. Light
  amounts of ice and snow are possible over much of the area. There
  is still uncertainty on the exact precipitation type and amounts,
  therefore keep up to date on the latest forecasts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Raberding

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
347 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-191000-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
347 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Isolated thunderstorms will be possible during the pre-dawn hours
Tuesday morning across eastern parts of Central Texas. A few
lightning strikes are expected to be the primary hazard.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Low thunderstorms chances continue across those areas generally
south of Interstate 20 and east of Interstate 35 Tuesday into Tuesday
evening. The strongest storms could produce small hail. Occasional
lightning strikes will also pose a hazard across these areas.

In addition, isolated pockets of heavier rainfall to near one inch
will be possible Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night along and
east of a line from Bonham to Terrell and east of the Interstate 45
corridor in Central Texas. Minor flooding of low-lying areas due to
run off will be possible.

Low thunderstorm chances return to Central Texas Thursday night and
Friday, before expanding across the entire region Friday night and
Saturday. A few strong storms capable of heavy downpours and gusty
winds will be possible late in the period. However, severe weather is
unlikely at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
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