Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
532 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
532 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma and Western Arkansas.
ONSET...This Afternoon.
DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are developing early this morning across
northeast Oklahoma, and will increase in coverage and intensity as
the day wears on, with a shift to the southeast with time as well
as a cold front moves through the area. Isolated severe storms
with mainly a large hail potential will be possible this morning,
but the severe threat will ramp up this afternoon from southeast
Oklahoma into western Arkansas. Large hail and damaging winds will
be the main severe weather threats this afternoon and evening. The
surface frontal boundary is forecast to move south into northeast
Texas by late this afternoon, but if it stalls a bit farther
north, a limited tornado threat may develop for a time near the
Red River. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible this
afternoon and evening from southeast Oklahoma into western
Arkansas which may result in localized flooding concerns.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
THURSDAY and FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...No Hazards.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Another round of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected
Thursday afternoon and evening as an upper level storm system
moves across the area. Locally heavy rainfall will again be
possible at this time, especially from southeast Oklahoma into
western Arkansas where flooding will become an increasing concern.
Another significant round of storms may affect the area late
Saturday and Saturday night with a severe weather and heavy rain
threat.
weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1113 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-231130-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1113 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.
.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected across much of the
region this afternoon through tonight. The best storms chances will
be in the afternoon and evening. Some storms will be severe with
large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado or two. Locally
heavy rain may also lead to flooding in some areas.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Additional storms are expected on Thursday, a few of which may be
severe and contain heavy rain.
There is a low chance for thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. Though
storm coverage will be isolated, any storm which develops may become
severe.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is likely area-wide this afternoon and evening.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1054 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-231600-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
1054 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
A few thunderstorms are possible today through tonight over far
southeast Kansas. Small hail and gusty winds may accompany the
strongest activity.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Periodic thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast Thursday
through Monday. A few strong to severe storms are possible Thursday
through Thursday night, and again Saturday afternoon through night,
along with locally heavy rainfall.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today or tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
551 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-231100-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
551 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited hail risk.
Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk.
DISCUSSION...
A few isolated strong to severe thunderstorms possible across
portions of southern Missouri this afternoon into the evening.
Primary hazards are hail up to the size of golf balls and damaging
wind gusts up to 60 mph. Localized heavy rainfall and flash
flooding may occur in flood prone areas.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Additional strong to severe thunderstorms possible on Thursday
afternoon through Thursday night. Primary risks include large hail
and damaging wind gusts. Additional low risk of a quick spin up
tornado.
Daily shower and thunderstorm chances continue through through the
weekend. This includes the potential for strong to severe
thunderstorms and localized flash flooding. The highest risk
occurs late Saturday into Sunday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed later this afternoon and evening
for portions of southern Missouri.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Perez
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
323 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-231200-
Sevier-Howard-Little River-Hempstead-Nevada-Miller-Lafayette-
Columbia-Union-Caddo-Bossier-Webster-Claiborne-Lincoln-De Soto-
Red River-Bienville-Jackson-Ouachita-Sabine-Natchitoches-Winn-Grant-
Caldwell-La Salle-McCurtain-Bowie-Franklin-Titus-Camp-Morris-Cass-
Wood-Upshur-Marion-Smith-Gregg-Harrison-Cherokee-Rusk-Panola-
Nacogdoches-Shelby-Angelina-San Augustine-
323 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Arkansas,
southwest Arkansas, north central Louisiana, northwest Louisiana,
southeast Oklahoma, east Texas and northeast Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.
Strong to severe thunderstorms will become widespread late this
afternoon, into the evening and overnight hours across much of the
Four State Region. Large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts and
locally heavy downpours will be the primary threats with an isolated
tornado threat as well. The severe weather threat should end from
northwest to southeast across the Four State Region overnight
tonight. While widespread flooding is not likely through tonight,
flooding of low lying and flood prone areas will be possible with
heavy downpours through tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
Severe weather will be possible once again late Thursday into
Thursday Night, late Friday into Friday Night and again late in the
day on Saturday across mainly portions of Northeast Texas, Southeast
Oklahoma and Southwest Arkansas. Large hail and damaging
thunderstorm wind gusts will again be the main threats Thursday,
Friday and Saturday.
A strong cold front will move through the region on Memorial Day and
Monday Night bringing with it another chance of thunderstorms. Before
the cold front arrives late on Monday, we will see some of the
hottest temperatures of the late Spring Season with afternoon high
temperatures both Saturday and Sunday in the lower to middle 90s.
Combine this with high afternoon humidity and heat indices could
approach 105 degrees across some locations.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will be likely later this afternoon and into the
late evening and early overnight periods tonight with the development
of severe thunderstorms.
$$
13
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
252 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069-
103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-
237-238-240-241-313-340-341-231000-
Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence-
Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry-
Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest-
Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations-
Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County-
Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County-
Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County-
Polk County Lower Elevations-
Central and Eastern Montgomery County-
Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations-
Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations-
Van Buren County Higher Elevations-
Southern and Eastern Logan County-
Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest-
Northern Polk County Higher Elevations-
Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations-
Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations-
Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations-
252 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms are expected through much of today.
Some storms could be strong to severe with large hail, damaging
winds, and a few tornadoes possible. Additionally, flash flooding
will be possible today as a result of heavy rainfall associated
with thunderstorms.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
An unsettled pattern continues for Arkansas through the weekend.
Thunderstorms are forecast each day...with some severe thunderstorms
possible some days. An increased potential for seeing strong to
severe thunderstorms is expected for Thursday for a large portion of
Arkansas. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats
with the strongest storms. A tornado or two will also be possible.
More strong to severe thunderstorms are possible over the weekend as
well. Locally heavy rainfall may also result in some isolated flash
flooding into early next week.
Cooler and drier air will move into the region by late Monday and
especially by Tuesday of next week...with the threat for hazardous
weather becoming low.
.Spotter Information Statement...
Spotter activation will not be needed.
&&
Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.
$$
73/62
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
221 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-230730-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
221 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...
.Thunderstorms...
Episodic rounds of thunderstorms and potential severe weather are
expected, beginning as early as 4 AM this morning across west-
central into southeast Oklahoma. An additional round is expected
from early this afternoon through the mid-evening, focusing across
far southern into southeastern Oklahoma. Large hail will be the
main storm risk, though damaging winds and a low tornado threat
are also possible, especially by this afternoon and evening.
.Heavy Rain...
Heavy rain may lead to flash flooding by this afternoon,
especially across southeast Oklahoma.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...
.Thunderstorms...
Additional rounds of storms and severe weather are expected into
the late week and weekend. The most impactful periods look to be
Thursday and Saturday afternoon into evening. Large hail, damaging
winds and tornadoes will be possible.
.Heavy Rain...
At least limited risk for heavy rain and flash flooding will
continue into Thursday evening, remaining focused across southeast
Oklahoma.
Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.
$$
