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Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
920 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-170330-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
920 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1020 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

A few isolated storms near Decatur county may continue through the
night and produce small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

There is another chance for severe storms on Wednesday. Storms
initially may be capable of hail up to 2 inches in diameter but wind
gusts up to 65 mph look to be the main threat. Very heavy rainfall
is also forecast Wednesday evening through the overnight. Nuisance
flooding in towns and low lying areas is possible, but an instance
or two of flash flooding can`t be ruled out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter reports are encouraged.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1049 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-170300-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
1049 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Scattered thunderstorms, largely to the north of the I-85
corridor, are expected to persist tonight. Frequent lightning and
gusty winds will be possible with any storms. Locally heavy
rainfall will also be possible, which could cause ponding on
roadways and low-lying areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday...

Scattered to widespread thunderstorms are expected Wednesday
through Sunday. The threat for organized severe weather remains
low, but very heavy rainfall and localized flooding will be
possible.

Heat index values will range from 100 to 105 degrees, possibly
higher, across portions of north and central Georgia each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.


$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1029 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508-
526-WVZ050>053-055-170230-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta-
Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-
Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Northwest Prince William-Hampshire-
Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-
1029 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West
Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western
Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

An isolated instance of residual flooding from earlier rainfall
is possible through the early overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding are possible
Wednesday afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1029 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MDZ501-502-509-510-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-170230-
Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-
Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-
Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton-
1029 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front
counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland
County Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

An isolated instance of flooding is possible through the early
overnight hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Scattered instances of flash flooding are possible Wednesday
afternoon and evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
858 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
162100-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
858 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible through the early morning
hours. A few storms may be severe, with large hail and damaging
wind gusts the primary threats. In addition, locally heavy
rainfall could lead to areas of flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
843 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-170145-
Koochiching-North St. Louis-Northern Cook/Northern Lake-
North Itasca-Central St. Louis-Southern Lake/North Shore-
Southern Cook/North Shore-North Cass-South Itasca-South Cass-
Crow Wing-Northern Aitkin-South Aitkin-Carlton/South St. Louis-
Pine-Douglas-Bayfield-Ashland-Iron-Burnett-Washburn-Sawyer-Price-
843 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Minnesota and northwest Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Heavy rain has fallen across much of northwest Wisconsin and along
parts of the North Shore. Flood advisories and flash flood
warnings are in effect through this evening. Additional rainfall
amounts up to one inch are expected for parts of northwest
Wisconsin.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible for parts of northwest
Wisconsin, mainly in Price county, until about 10 PM. Wind gusts
up to 60 mph are the main threat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Strong northeast winds will increase the threat of rip currents
Wednesday for areas near the Twin Ports, including the beaches of
Duluth and Superior. A Beach Hazards Statement may be needed.

Additional thunderstorm chances are forecast through the end of
the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotters are encouraged to report hail of any size, wind
damage, rainfall amounts, and flooding to the National Weather
Service.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Duluth MN
843 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LSZ121-140>148-150-170145-
Bayfield to Oak Point WI-Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN-
Grand Marais to Taconite Harbor MN-
Taconite Harbor to Silver Bay Harbor MN-
Silver Bay Harbor to Two Harbors MN-Two Harbors to Duluth MN-
Duluth MN to Port Wing WI-Port Wing to Sand Island WI-
Sand Island to Bayfield WI-Oak Point to Saxon Harbor WI-
Outer Apostle Islands Beyond 5 NM from Mainland-
843 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Superior
and the Nearshore waters of western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected through tonight. Severe weather is not
expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Several chances of thunderstorms are forecast this week.

$$

JDS

More information may be obtained at the following web address:
http://www.weather.gov/duluth

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
937 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>014-030-VAZ075>078-081>090-092-093-096-518-520-
522>525-170145-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Bertie-Westmoreland-Richmond-
Northumberland-Lancaster-
Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City-
New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-
James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Suffolk-Eastern King William-
Eastern King and Queen-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
937 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south
central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and storms will bring the potential for localized
flooding on Wednesday. Additionally, heat indices could reach 105
degrees or higher Thursday and Friday, potentially leading to the
issuance of Heat Advisories.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
937 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

VAZ048-060>062-064>069-079-080-509>517-519-521-170145-
Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-
Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-
Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-
Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex-
937 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia, east
central Virginia, north central Virginia and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and storms will bring the potential for localized
flooding on Wednesday. Additionally, heat indices are expected to
reach 100 to 105 degrees Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
937 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ015>017-031-032-102-VAZ095-097>100-170145-
Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Chowan-Perquimans-
Eastern Currituck-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
Accomack-Northampton-
937 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and storms will bring the potential for localized
flooding on Wednesday. Additionally, heat indices could reach 105
degrees or higher Thursday and Friday, potentially leading to the
issuance of Heat Advisories.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
931 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-204-
216-MIZ078>081-177-277-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-170145-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern La Porte-
Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern La Porte-
Western St. Joseph IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-
Branch-Hillsdale-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-Williams-
Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
931 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /831 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Periodic chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected for much
of this period. Greatest potential of storms will be Wednesday night
into Thursday, and then again on Saturday and Sunday. There is a
Marginal Risk of severe storms for Wednesday night, mainly for a
threat of strong wind gusts. Some locally heavy rainfall is possible
with any of the thunderstorms.

Dangerous swimming conditions are possible Thursday afternoon into
early Friday across southeast Lake Michigan beaches. North winds are
expected to develop behind a cold front leading to building waves.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

OHZ009>014-019>023-028>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-161200-
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Huron-Medina-
Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-
Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
Southern Erie-
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday. Heavy
rainfall is expected to accompany thunderstorms, which may lead to
isolated flash flooding, especially during the afternoon and
evening. A few thunderstorms may produce isolated damaging wind
gusts Wednesday afternoon and evening.

There is a moderate swim risk for the beaches of Lake Erie on
Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-161200-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely on Wednesday. A few
thunderstorms may produce strong wind gusts Wednesday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-161200-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-Seneca-Wyandot-
930 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday. Heavy
rainfall and localized flooding are possible and a few thunderstorms
may produce isolated damaging wind gusts, primarily during the
afternoon and early evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
802 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
802 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Daily afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the
end of the week. While severe weather is not expected, lightning
and locally heavy rainfall will be possible.

Temperatures climb back to around 90 by midweek, continuing to
gradually increase into the lower 90s through the weekend. Heat
index values will gradually increase this week, reaching the
100-105 degree this weekend into early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

Melto

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
756 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
161200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
756 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to move
northwest to southeast across most of the area tonight. The
primary threat is for wind gusts of 60 to 70 MPH, although
isolated instances of large hail are also possible. The threat
for severe weather will end by 2am.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorm chances return Wednesday for the evening and
overnight hours, especially for areas south of Interstate 80 and
into north central Kansas. Some of these storms may be strong to
marginally severe, and also produce heavy rain.

Thursday is expected to remain dry for much of the area, with off
and on chances for thunderstorms returning Friday through next
Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report strong wind gusts, hail of any
size, or any flooding that might occur this evening and tonight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
832 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ087-096-099-105>109-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-055-056-058-059-
170045-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-
Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Marlboro-
Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Inland Georgetown-
Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-Northern Horry-
832 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heat Advisories are possible starting late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
832 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ110-SCZ054-170045-
Coastal Brunswick-Coastal Horry-
832 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and
northeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Risk of Rip Currents.

A moderate risk of rip currents may continue into the weekend,
due to a 2-4 ft swell out of the south. In addition, Heat
Advisories are possible starting late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
517 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161030-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
517 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Mainly Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and West-Central Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will continue into this
evening, especially from southeast Oklahoma into northwest
Arkansas. Severe weather is not expected, but locally heavy
rainfall and gusty winds remain possible with the strongest
storms. Heat index values from 95 to 105 degrees will be common
early this evening across eastern Oklahoma and west central
Arkansas before decreasing.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
FRIDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Dangerous Heat Potential.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...Dangerous Heat Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast both Wednesday
and Thursday. A weak cold front will attempt to move into
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas on Thursday and may
provide a corridor of slightly higher thunderstorm chances. The
front will quickly lose definition with heat intensifying from
late week through next weekend. Heat index values of 100 to 105
degrees will be common during the afternoons across a large part
of eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas, with some values
exceeding 105 degrees later this weekend into early next week. Any
outdoor activities should plan for higher heat stress conditions.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
417 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-162130-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
417 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening over northern
Wisconsin with a few severe storms are possible over north-
central Wisconsin. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main
severe hazards, with heavy rain also possible. A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for Vilas County until 10 PM this
evening.

An Air Quality Advisory is in effect for Door, Kewaunee, and
Manitowoc counties until 11 PM due to ozone levels expected to
reach the Unhealthy for Sensitive Groups (USG) to Unhealthy level.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

Additional thunderstorms are expected Wednesday and Wednesday
evening over much of the area. There is a risk for severe storms
along with heavy rainfall and localized flooding.

There are on and off chances for thunderstorms from Saturday
through early next week. It is too early to determine if or when
any severe storms are possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are requested to report any flooding, wind damage or
hail to the National Weather Service in Green Bay.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
301 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NEZ002-003-019>021-054-055-095-096-WYZ101>119-162115-
Dawes County-Box Butte County-Scotts Bluff County-Banner County-
Morrill County-Kimball County-Cheyenne County-
Northern Sioux County-Southern Sioux County-
Converse County Lower Elevations-Niobrara County-
North Laramie Range-Ferris/Seminoe/Shirley Mountains-
Shirley Basin-Central Laramie Range and Southwest Platte County-
East Platte County-Goshen County-Central Carbon County-
North Snowy Range Foothills-Southwest Carbon County-
Sierra Madre Range-Upper North Platte River Basin-Snowy Range-
Laramie Valley-South Laramie Range-South Laramie Range Foothills-
Central Laramie County-East Laramie County-
301 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of panhandle
Nebraska...east central Wyoming...south central Wyoming and
southeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

- There is a slight risk (2 of 5) of strong to severe
  thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, continuing into the
  early nighttime hours with strong wind gusts as well as some
  large hail possible.

- Locally heavy rainfall with a marginal risk of flooding is also
  possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

- There is a slight risk (2 of 5) for strong to severe
  thunderstorms on Wednesday for areas along and east of I-25 with
  all severe hazards (large hail, damaging winds, and isolated
  tornadoes) possible during the afternoon and evening.

- Locally heavy rainfall with a marginal risk of flooding is also
  possible on Wednesday.

- A warming trend is expected from Thursday through the weekend
  with daily chances of showers and thunderstorms.

.Spotter information statement...

Spotter reports are encouraged with severe weather over the coming
days.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
322 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-161200-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
322 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /422 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected into early this
evening. A storm or two may briefly become strong to severe with
gusty to damaging winds the main threat. Torrential rainfall will
accompany any storms and flash flooding may develop where any
storms persist.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon
through Monday. Isolated strong to severe storms are possible and
all storms will be capable of brief torrential rainfall.

Afternoon heat indices will climb into the 100 to 105 degree range
throughout the Quad State Wednesday through Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
314 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-160830-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
314 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /214 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered to widespread thunderstorms are expected to develop along a
frontal boundary this afternoon and evening. Numerous storms are
likely to become severe with damaging wind gusts and large hail the
main concern though a brief tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Area
of greatest concern will reside along and east of a line from
Imperial to Hyannis to Valentine.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Following a mostly dry day Wednesday, rain and thunderstorm chances
increase in the evening mainly across southwest Nebraska. A few
storms may be strong to briefly severe with isolated 1" hail and
damaging wind gusts nearing 60 mph the main concerns.

Daily thunderstorms remain possible Friday through Monday. At this
time, the threat for severe weather is uncertain.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed, mainly across north central
Nebraska for the first few hours after storm development.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
308 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-161015-
Monona-Harrison-Shelby-Pottawattamie-Mills-Montgomery-Fremont-
Page-Knox-Cedar-Thurston-Antelope-Pierce-Wayne-Boone-Madison-
Stanton-Cuming-Burt-Platte-Colfax-Dodge-Washington-Butler-
Saunders-Douglas-Sarpy-Seward-Lancaster-Cass-Otoe-Saline-
Jefferson-Gage-Johnson-Nemaha-Pawnee-Richardson-
308 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest
Iowa...west central Iowa...east central Nebraska...northeast
Nebraska and southeast Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Wednesday

There is a 50-95% chance of storms mainly after 6 PM today, with
a 15-40% chance of severe storms within 25 miles of any location.
The primary threats are damaging winds and localized flooding, but
some hail and a brief tornado are also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday night through Tuesday

Additional rounds of storms are possible Wednesday evening into
early Thursday, and again Friday afternoon into the weekend.
Severe weather will be possible at times, with the threat of
flooding increasing with each successive round.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation isn`t anticipated, but any severe weather
reports are appreciated.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
303 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ILZ042>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-161100-
Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-Morgan-
Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
303 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will occur through this evening.
Cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rain and gusty winds will
be the main risks from this activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hot and humid conditions will push heat index values of 97 to 102
degrees Wednesday afternoon.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected Wednesday afternoon through
Friday afternoon, and again Saturday through Sunday. There is a
level 1 of 5 (marginal) risk for severe weather from mid Wednesday
afternoon into mid Wednesday evening north of I-70. The main risk
will be from damaging straight line winds, though frequent cloud to
ground lightning strikes and heavy rain are also expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
303 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ILZ027>031-036>038-040-041-161100-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-
303 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms will be possible until dusk mainly southeast
of the IL river. Cloud to ground lightning will be a risk from this
activity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hot and humid conditions will push heat index values 98 to 105
degrees Wednesday afternoon.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected Wednesday afternoon through
Thursday afternoon, and again Saturday through Sunday. There is a
level 2 of 5 (slight) risk for severe weather from mid Wednesday
afternoon into mid Wednesday evening north of a Rushville to
Bloomington line, and a level 1 of 5 (marginal) risk further south.
The main risk will be from damaging straight line winds, though
isolated tornadoes are possible. Frequent cloud to ground lightning
strikes and heavy rain are also expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

$$

07

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
247 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-162000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
247 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Widely scattered thunderstorms will continue into this evening. The
strongest storms may produce gusty winds and locally heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night.
Some storms may be strong to severe, mainly along and north of I-70.
50-60 mph wind gusts are the primary threat from these storms.

Thunderstorms are possible for the rest of the Tuesday through next
Monday period as well, mainly during the afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Carney

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
244 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-161945-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
244 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected after midnight tonight in
western Iowa and will then spread eastward. Isolated strong to
severe storms are possible, with gusty winds and heavy rainfall the
main threats.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Redevelopment of thunderstorms is possible Wednesday afternoon or
evening. Isolated severe storms with heavy rain are possible,
however any storm development will be conditional on the morning
activity.

Additional thunderstorms are expected at times this weekend. Strong
storms and heavy rain will again be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after midnight tonight into
Wednesday.

$$

Zogg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
341 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MIZ016>018-020>036-041-042-086>088-095>099-161945-
Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Leelanau-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency-
Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-
Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-Southeast Chippewa-
Western Mackinac-Eastern Mackinac-
Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Beaver Island and surrounding islands-Charlevoix-
341 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for Eastern Upper Michigan and
Northern Lower Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Some isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible this evening
across the eastern upper peninsula.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Moderate chances for scattered thunderstorms are expected this
Wednesday through Wednesday night, especially for a few stronger
storms across northern lower Michigan. Main hazards include
localized heavy rain and strong wind gusts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
341 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-161945-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-
341 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for the northern Michigan
nearshore waters of Lake Huron, Lake Michigan and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible across Whitefish Bay into the
St. Mary`s River late today into tonight. Widespread severe
weather is not expected, but a stronger wind gust or two is
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible Wednesday into Wednesday
night across the nearshore and open waters of northern lower and
eastern upper Michigan. Torrential rainfall is possible, along
with some stronger wind gusts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
323 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-161930-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-Crawford-Perry-
Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-
Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-
Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-
Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
323 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /223 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Indiana
and central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue late this
afternoon and into the evening. Torrential rainfall, gusty winds,
and cloud to ground lightning will be the main threats with the
strongest storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon and evening.
These storms will be capable of producing lightning, localized gusty
damaging winds, and brief heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

$$
BTN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
317 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

INZ051>057-060>065-067>072-161930-
Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-
Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-
Jennings-
317 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will continue into the overnight hours.
Severe storms are not expected. Heavy rain and lightning are threats
from any storm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are likely most days this week.

Lightning and locally heavy rain will be the primary threats with
storms this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
317 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

INZ021-028>031-035>049-161930-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-
317 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms will continue into the evening hours before
diminishing overnight. Severe storms are not expected. Heavy rain and
lightning are threats from any storm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are likely most days, with the lowest threat being
Friday.

Isolated strong to marginally severe storms are possible Wednesday
night. Isolated damaging wind gusts are the primary threat.

Otherwise, lightning and locally heavy rain will be the primary
threats with storms this week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Riverton WY
106 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

WYZ001>020-022>030-161300-
Yellowstone National Park-Absaroka Mountains-Cody Foothills-
North Bighorn Basin-Southwest Bighorn Basin-Southeast Bighorn Basin-
Owl Creek and Bridger Mountains-Bighorn Mountains West-
Bighorn Mountains Southeast-Northeast Johnson County-
Southeast Johnson County-Teton and Gros Ventre Mountains-
Jackson Hole-Wind River Mountains West-Wind River Mountains East-
Upper Wind River Basin-Wind River Basin-Lander Foothills-
Green Mountains and Rattlesnake Range-
Natrona County Lower Elevations-Casper Mountain-Star Valley-
Salt River and Wyoming Ranges-Upper Green River Basin Foothills-
Upper Green River Basin-South Lincoln County-
Rock Springs and Green River-Flaming Gorge-East Sweetwater County-
106 PM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Western and Central Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Widespread to numerous thunderstorms develop by mid-afternoon and
continue through the evening, especially east of the Continental
Divide. Strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of 60 mph
wind gusts, one-half to one inch diameter hail, and periods of heavy
rainfall. West of the Divide, dry showers and thunderstorms will be
capable of gusty outflow 40 to 60 mph through the evening.

A Red Flag Warning is in effect until 8 PM for far southwest Wyoming
due to low relative humidity, gusty wind, and the potential for gusty
outflow wind from showers and thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Wednesday...A chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms, mainly
across southern Wyoming.

Friday through Monday...Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorm
chances each day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-161200-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
303 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Through Tonight.

There is a good chance of thunderstorms into this evening. Some
storms could produce locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are expected at times from Wednesday through Monday,
especially during afternoon and evening hours. Some storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

GINNICK/JP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
202 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-161915-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
202 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Areas of fog may occur in and around the Wisconsin River Valley.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds, hail, and heavy
rainfall possible Wednesday afternoon and evening.

Thunderstorms may linger into Thursday morning, with additional
chances returning during the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed Wednesday afternoon and evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-161845-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Roanoke-Botetourt-
Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-
Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Slow moving thunderstorms may lead to flooding this afternoon and
evening. Rain rates up to 4 inches in an hour are possible. There is
a slight risk (level 2 of 4) for excessive rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall
from thunderstorms Wednesday through the upcoming weekend...mainly
due to slow moving afternoon and evening thunderstorms.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-161845-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-
Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-
Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Storms this afternoon and evening may produce localized flooding
from excess heavy rain. The greatest threat is east of the
Appalachian divide.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 4) of excessive rainfall
from thunderstorms Wednesday through the upcoming weekend...mainly
due to slow moving afternoon and evening thunderstorms.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
229 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-161830-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
229 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana,
southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, central
Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Several rounds of showers and storms are expected Wednesday through
Monday. These repeated episodes of heavy rain may lead to instances
of flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Caribou ME
221 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MEZ001>006-010-161830-
Northwest Aroostook-Northeast Aroostook-Northern Somerset-
Northern Piscataquis-Northern Penobscot-Southeast Aroostook-
Central Piscataquis-
221 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Highlands Maine, Far
Eastern Maine, Far Northern Maine and North Woods Maine.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorms are likely Thursday. Any thunderstorms
will be capable of producing locally heavy downpours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ001>005-013-014-161815-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Livingston-Ontario-
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday
afternoon and evening. The primary hazard is damaging wind gusts.

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from slow-moving
showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Thursday, some of which
could produce localized heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ006-007-161815-
Oswego-Jefferson-
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from slow-moving
showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Thursday, some of which
could produce localized heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042-043-062-063-161815-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday
afternoon and evening. The primary hazard is damaging wind gusts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ008-161815-
Lewis-
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from slow-moving
showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Thursday, some of which
could produce localized heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ010>012-019>021-085-161815-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Southern Erie-
214 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms Wednesday
afternoon and evening. The primary hazard is damaging wind gusts.

There is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall from slow-moving
showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Thursday, some of which
could produce localized heavy rainfall and gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
158 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MEZ012>014-019>022-033-NHZ003>009-011-015-161800-
Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-
Central Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Interior Cumberland Highlands-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-
Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-
Cheshire-Western And Central Hillsborough-
158 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire, central New
Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heat indices may approach the middle to upper 90s on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
158 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MEZ018-NHZ010-161800-
Interior York-Strafford-
158 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Maine and central
New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Heat indices are expected to approach the middle to upper 90s again
on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
158 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NHZ012-013-161800-
Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-
158 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Heat indices are expected to approach the middle to upper 90s again
on Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
157 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>022-029-
031-073>078-WVZ001>004-012-021-509-161800-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-
Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest-
Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-
Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Higher Elevations of Westmoreland-
Fayette-Higher Elevations of Fayette-Indiana-
Higher Elevations of Indiana-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-
Marion-Monongalia-
157 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, western
Pennsylvania, and northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Elevated heat risks are possible today as heat indices reach the mid
to upper 90s.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday that
produce heavy rain may result in flash flooding, favoring saturated
and poor drainage areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
157 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

WVZ510>514-161800-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
157 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Heavy rain from slow moving afternoon thunderstorms pose a marginal
risk for flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday that
produce heavy rain may result in flash flooding, favoring saturated
and poor drainage areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$
Milcarek

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1157 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

COZ058>089-093>099-161800-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1157 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are forecast for this afternoon and
evening, mainly across the mountains, with weaker and more
isolated activity over interior valleys and along the I-25
corridor. The main thunderstorms risks today will be lightning and
outflow wind gusts 50 to 55 mph. Thunderstorms will dissipate
this evening.

Temperatures on the Plains will be hot this afternoon, with highs in
the upper 90s to lower 100s.  Be sure to take precautions to protect
yourself from the heat.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Daily afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are
expected Wednesday through Monday. Widespread thunderstorm
activity is anticipated across much of the area Wednesday through
Saturday, then a decrease in coverage is expected for Sunday and
Monday. There is also the threat of excessive rainfall on
Wednesday and Thursday across the eastern mountains and plains, so
flood-prone areas will need to be monitored closely.

The primary threat from any of the stronger storms will be gusty
outflow winds nearing 60 mph. Otherwise, the most likely hazards
with any organized storms will be gusty outflow winds around 40
mph, small hail, frequent cloud to ground lightning, and brief
periods of moderate to heavy rain.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

$$

10/27

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
147 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-161800-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
147 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1247 PM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Heat Index values in the upper 90s to 104 degrees can be expected
again today across the central and southern TN valley.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms can expected through this
evening. The greatest coverage will be along and north of
interstate 40. Wind gusts up to 45 mph and isolated flooding are
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Tuesday

Heat index values in the upper 90s to near 104 degrees are
expected through much of the week across the East Tennessee
Valley. A few strong storms are possible with the main concern
being damaging winds and localized flash flooding.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not needed at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ009-022-044>046-057-062-161745-
Northern Oneida-Steuben-Cortland-Chenango-Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-161745-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-
Southern Wayne-
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The combination of heat and humidity can lead to heat indices
reaching into the 90s Wednesday and Thursday, especially in valley
locations and urban areas. There will also be the potential for
additional showers and thunderstorms bringing locally heavy rainfall
with isolated flash flooding possible Wednesday into Thursday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ015>018-023>025-036-037-055-056-161745-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Madison-Southern Oneida-Tioga-Broome-
132 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ026>028-035-087-VTZ001-002-005-009-161730-
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-Western Franklin-
Western Chittenden-Western Addison-
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central
Vermont and northwest Vermont.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Air Quality Alerts are in effect across much of the region,
excluding Rutland and Windsor Counties in south central Vermont,
until midnight tonight. Sensitive groups should take appropriate
precautions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Heat and humidity will peak Wednesday and Thursday, with heat index
values reaching into the low to mid 90s. A Heat Advisory is in
effect from noon to 8 PM Wednesday. Please follow heat safety
precautions, especially if you have to be outdoors.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NYZ029>031-034-VTZ003-004-006>008-010-011-016>021-161730-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Orleans-Essex-Lamoille-Caledonia-Washington-Orange-
Western Rutland-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-Western Windsor-Eastern Windsor-
122 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central
Vermont, northeast Vermont, northwest Vermont and southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Air Quality Alerts are in effect across much of the region,
excluding Rutland and Windsor Counties in south central Vermont,
until midnight tonight. Sensitive groups should take appropriate
precautions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heat and humidity will peak Wednesday and Thursday, with heat index
values reaching into the low 90s. Please follow heat safety
precautions, especially if you have to be outdoors.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

SDZ024-026>031-041>044-046-074>077-WYZ056-057-060-161300-
Northern Black Hills-Rapid City-Southern Foothills-
Central Black Hills-Southern Black Hills-Custer Co Plains-
Pennington Co Plains-Western Fall River-Northern Oglala Lakota-
Northern Jackson-Bennett-Mellette-Hermosa Foothills-
Eastern Fall River-Southern Oglala Lakota-Southern Jackson-
Western Crook-Wyoming Black Hills-Northeastern Crook-
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1125 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western South
Dakota and northeastern Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a marginal risk (level 1 of 5) of severe thunderstorms
today, meaning that isolated severe storms are possible. Primary
hazards include large hail and damaging winds.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms may occur into early next week, but right now,
organized severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

SDZ001-002-012>014-025-032-072-073-078-161300-
Harding-Northern Perkins-Butte-Northern Meade Co Plains-Ziebach-
Northern Foothills-Haakon-Sturgis/Piedmont Foothills-
Southern Meade Co Plains-Southern Perkins-
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwestern
South Dakota...and southwestern South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight


Thunderstorms may occur this afternoon and tonight, but organized
severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms may occur into early next week, but right now,
organized severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

SDZ047-049-WYZ054-055-058-059-161300-
Todd-Tripp-Northern Campbell-Southern Campbell-
Weston County Plains-Newcastle-
1025 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1125 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
South Dakota...and northeast Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight


There is a slight risk (level 2 of 5) of severe thunderstorms
later this afternoon and evening, meaning that scattered severe
storms are possible. Primary hazards include damaging winds and
large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms may occur into early next week, but right now,
organized severe thunderstorms are not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today.

&&

Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio for further updates...or check
our web site at weather.gov/rapidcity

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
917 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

COZ030>051-161530-
Jackson County Below 9000 Feet-
West Jackson and West Grand Counties Above 9000 Feet-
Grand and Summit Counties Below 9000 Feet-
South and East Jackson/Larimer/North and Northeast Grand/
Northwest Boulder Counties Above 9000 Feet-
South and Southeast Grand/West Central and Southwest Boulder/
Gilpin/Clear Creek/Summit/North and West Park Counties Above
9000 Feet-Larimer and Boulder Counties Between 6000 and 9000 Feet-
Jefferson and West Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet/Gilpin/Clear
Creek/Northeast Park Counties Below 9000 Feet-
Central and Southeast Park County-
Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-
Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield
County-
North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and
Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-
Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet-
Northeast Weld County-Central and South Weld County-Morgan County-
Central and East Adams and Arapahoe Counties-
North and Northeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/North Lincoln
County-
Southeast Elbert County Below 6000 Feet/South Lincoln County-
Logan County-Washington County-Sedgwick County-Phillips County-
917 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025


This hazardous weather outlook is for northeast and north central
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered showers and storms are expected across the higher
elevations this afternoon, before spreading across the I-25
corridor. Gusty outflow winds up to 40 mph are possible. For
northern and northeastern Colorado, there will be mid-late
afternoon showers and thunderstorms, with the possibility of an
isolated strong to severe thunderstorm. Main threat will be gusty
50+ mph outflow winds and small hail.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday


A brief cooldown is expected on Wednesday as a shortwave and
associated cold front pushes across the forecast area. Widespread
showers and storms will be possible, with a conditional threat of
storms becoming severe across the I-25 corridor and plains. There
is also a chance of localized heavy rainfall.

High temperatures will return to the 90s on Friday, remaining
there there through the forecast period. Scattered afternoon
showers and storms are possible each day.



.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1104 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-161515-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce-
Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft-
1104 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1004 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Upper
Michigan and western Upper Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight

There is a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe thunderstorms
and a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for flash flooding across
northern and western Upper Michigan today with Marginal Risks
(level 1 of 5) of both hazards for the rest of the UP.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will continue through Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1104 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-161515-
Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand
Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI-
Black River to Ontonagon MI-
Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI-
Eagle River to Manitou Island MI-
Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI-
Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including
Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI-
Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI-
Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI-
Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage
Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle
Royale National Park-
Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou
Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border-
Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off
shore to the US/Canadian border-
1104 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /1004 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Central Lake
Superior...Eastern Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight

Chances of thunderstorms will be over the entire lake today and
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will continue through Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

$$

Thompson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1104 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

LMZ221-248-250-161515-
Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island
Passage-Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI-
5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage-
1104 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Northern Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm chances will continue through Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
428 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-161030-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-Upper Gunnison River Valley-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
428 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Colorado, southwest
Colorado, west central Colorado, east central Utah, northeast Utah
and southeast Utah.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hot and dry conditions keep temperatures trending 5 degrees above
average. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms on the terrain
increase this afternoon with dry lightning and gusty outflows
possible under collapsing storms. Wildfire smoke will remain visible
across the central and southern areas of the CWA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hot and dry conditions will continue through the week. Afternoon
showers and storms on terrain will remain in the forecast,
increasing in coverage through the latter half of the week.
Increasing moisture will limit chances for dry lightning later in
the week and bring increased chances for wetting rain across the
higher terrain. Wildfire smoke will remain visible for much of
eastern Utah and western Colorado though the wetting rains later in
the week could help diminish smoke. Conditions dry out Sunday into
early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
609 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MDZ012-015-019-020-161015-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
609 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon into
early this evening. Localized flash flooding may be possible this
afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible each day
through the end of the week which may cause localized instances of
flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161006-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
0506 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

There is a low probability of widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please go to https://weather.gov/media/eax/DssPacket.pdf for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Several chances for storms Wednesday:
    - Early morning storms possible for NW MO & NE KS.
    - Afternoon storms possible, mainly north of the MO River. This
      round heavily dependent on how morning activity evolves.

* Hot and humid Wednesday with heat index values of 100-105, mainly
  south of Highway 36.
    - Extent of high heat dependent on how storms evolve earlier in
      the day.

* Several additional rounds of storms possible from Wednesday night
  into Thursday afternoon.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
515 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ007>011-021>026-038>041-073>076-160915-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-
Orange-Durham-Franklin-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-Wake-Stanly-
Montgomery-Moore-Lee-
515 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall are expected
again this afternoon and evening. Isolated flash flooding is
possible. The areas most vulnerable are the Triad region east across
the northern Piedmont into portions of the Triangle Area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The chance of widespread hazardous weather is low at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
515 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ027-028-042-043-077-078-083>086-088-089-160915-
Nash-Edgecombe-Johnston-Wilson-Harnett-Wayne-Anson-Richmond-Scotland-
Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
515 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The chance of widespread hazardous weather is low at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The chance of widespread hazardous weather is low at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-160915-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
404 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Storms moving into north-central Kansas around midnight tonight may
pose a brief risk for damaging winds before weakening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heat indices 100 to 105 degrees are possible Wednesday, most likely
along and south of Interstate 70.

Strong to severe storms are also possible Wednesday into Wednesday
night, with damaging winds the main hazard.

&&

More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
458 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-160900-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-
Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
458 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Lower
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Patchy fog will be possible this morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms will become possible Wednesday morning, and will
continue to be possible into Thursday. Some of the storms could
become locally strong to severe. Large hail to quarter sized, wind
gusts up to 60 mph, locally heavy rainfall, and lightning will be
the main threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be possible Wednesday afternoon and
evening.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
351 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-160900-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O`Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-McCook-
Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
Union-
351 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Iowa, west central
Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota and
southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to form over
central South Dakota this afternoon into the evening. Risks include
hail to the size of a ping-pong ball, wind gusts to 70 mph, heavy
rainfall, and possibly a tornado or two. Rainfall totals of 1-2
inches are expected with isolated pockets of up to 3 inches
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Lingering, light showers continue Wednesday morning, ending by
afternoon. Cooler temperatures will prevail through the end of the
week. The next chance for showers and thunderstorms comes Friday
night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Juan PR
436 AM AST Tue Jul 15 2025

AMZ711>745-PRZ001>013-160845-
San Juan and Vicinity-Northeast-Southeast-Eastern Interior-
North Central-Central Interior-Ponce and Vicinity-Northwest-
Western Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-Southwest-Culebra-Vieques-
The nearshore and off shore Atlantic and Caribbean Coastal Waters-
436 AM AST Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Puerto Rico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

.Lightning...Isolated thunderstorms, particularly across north,
east and west Puerto Rico. Stay alert and be prepared to take
shelter if storms develop.

.Excessive Rainfall...Flooding in urban areas, roads, small
streams, and washes, particularly across western Puerto Rico.
There is a low chance of isolated flash floods. Elsewhere, plan
for water ponding on roads and in poorly drained areas.

.Excessive Heat...This level of heat affects most individuals
sensitive to heat, especially those without effective cooling
and/or adequate hydration. Those extremely sensitive to heat face
the highest risk. Some health systems and heat-sensitive
industries could be affected. These conditions are most likely
across all coastal and urban areas of Puerto Rico.

.Wind...Breezy conditions (18-22 kts | 21-25 mph), particularly
across northern and southwestern Puerto Rico. Unsecured items
could blow around.

.Marine Conditions...Small craft should exercise caution,
particularly across the Atlantic waters.

.Rip Currents...Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone, particularly across beaches of north, east, southeast
Puerto Rico, Culebra and Vieques. Isolated stronger rip currents
may occur elsewhere, especially near piers, jetties, and channels.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

An elevated excessive heat threat will continue through Friday
across most lower elevations of PR. Isolated thunderstorms are
expected each afternoon over portions of the interior and western
PR. Breezy conditions and a moderate risk of rip currents will
prevail through the workweek. A tropical wave is expected to
increase shower and thunderstorm activity by midweek. A dense
Saharan Air Layer will return on Thursday, promoting hazy skies
and reduced visibilities through the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Juan PR
436 AM AST Tue Jul 15 2025

AMZ716-726-VIZ001-002-160845-
St. Thomas St. John adjacent Islands-St Croix-
Nearshore Atlantic and adjacent Caribbean Coastal Waters-
436 AM AST Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of USVI.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

.Lightning...Isolated thunderstorms, particularly across
the U.S. Virgin Islands. Stay alert and be prepared to take
shelter if storms develop.

.Excessive Heat...This level of heat affects primarily those
individuals extremely sensitive to heat, especially when outdoors
without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration. These
conditions are most likely across the U.S. Virgin Islands.

.Wind...Breezy conditions (18-22 kts | 21-25 mph), particularly
across the U.S. Virgin Islands. Unsecured items could blow
around.

.Marine Conditions...Small craft should exercise caution,
particularly across the Atlantic waters.

.Rip Currents...Life-threatening rip currents are possible in the
surf zone, particularly across the U.S. Virgin Islands. Isolated
stronger rip currents may occur elsewhere, especially near piers,
jetties, and channels.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A limited excessive heat threat will continue all the islands
through the weekend. Breezy conditions and a moderate risk of rip
currents will prevail through the workweek. A tropical wave is
expected to increase shower and thunderstorm activity by midweek.
A dense Saharan Air Layer will return on Thursday, promoting hazy
skies and reduced visibilities through the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
334 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160845-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
334 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /234 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is a very minimal chance for isolated thunderstorms across
west central Kansas and central Kansas in vicinity of the I-70
corridor tonight. However, severe potential is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

There is a marginal risk for strong to severe thunderstorms across
west central Kansas and portions of southwest Kansas late Wednesday.
The strongest storms will be capable of producing damaging winds in
excess of 60 to 70 mph. Quarter to half dollar size hail will also
be possible.

Thunderstorms will be also be possible Thursday. However, severe
potential is uncertain this far out.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
310 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-161215-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
310 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms will be possible late tonight, primarily for
portions of both southeast Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. A
stronger storm cannot be ruled out.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorms will be possible Wednesday and few of these could
be strong to severe. Heavy rainfall could lead to localized
flooding on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

No action needed.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

$$

Cecava

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025

MNZ039-046-SDZ003>011-015>023-033>037-045-048-051-160815-
Traverse-Big Stone-Corson-Campbell-McPherson-Brown-Marshall-Roberts-
Walworth-Edmunds-Day-Dewey-Potter-Faulk-Spink-Clark-Codington-Grant-
Hamlin-Deuel-Stanley-Sully-Hughes-Hyde-Hand-Jones-Lyman-Buffalo-
309 AM CDT Tue Jul 15 2025 /209 AM MDT Tue Jul 15 2025/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Minnesota,
central South Dakota, north central South Dakota and northeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe thunderstorms
southeast of a line from Vivian to Wheaton, MN. There is a marginal
risk elsewhere for this afternoon and evening. The main threats will
be strong winds, quarter sized hail and heavy rain.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be requested. Weather spotters are encouraged
to submit reports to the National Weather Service in Aberdeen. The
public can submit reports on our web page, Facebook page, or our X
feed.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
229 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>196-198-199-203-160630-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-East Carteret-Inland Onslow-
Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks-
229 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A combination of highs in the 90s and high humidity will result in
heat indices reaching 105 to 110 degrees Friday through Sunday. Heat
related impacts are possible, especially for people and industries
sensitive to heat.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

U.S. Dept. of Commerce
NOAA National Weather Service
1325 East West Highway
Silver Spring, MD 20910
E-mail: w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 2, 2009
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE: for Safety, for Work, for Fun - FOR LIFE