084
FNUS73 KABR 280921
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Noble WPA...USFWS
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
421 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure is building southward across the
region today. The net result should be a dry and cool day on
north-component 5 to 15 mph winds. Initially this morning, the
wind is expected to be light from the northwest, generally less
than 10 mph. But by noon CDT, winds should become north at more
like 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity today should drop to
around 45 percent, while afternoon fair-weather cumulus clouds
develop.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................4 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 14 mph increasing to around 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-5800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (83500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  8   7   7   6   8   14  21  23  24  25  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  49  50  52  57  59  61  62  64  64  64  65
RH..............96  94  89  86  72  62  56  52  46  45  45  41
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  13  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.    10  15  15  16  16  17  17  17  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.3 1.5 2.4 3.7 5.1 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.5
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 9 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-5100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 13 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (56000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or (very low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  16  11  8   6   6   5   5   6   7   9   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............64  63  60  54  51  48  47  45  44  43  43  42
RH..............45  46  53  66  74  80  86  89  93  96  93  96
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  12  10  10  10  9   9   9   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.17  16  14  14  15  14  14  14  14  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 4.6 3.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Smoke Dispersal.FR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 10 to 18 mph increasing
                    to 21 to 26 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......400-3800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 20 mph increasing to 22 to 28
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (89700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  8   5   3   3   2   6   9   9   10  10  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  43  47  50  57  60  64  67  69  70  72  71
RH..............100 93  89  83  67  60  53  49  46  45  42  43
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  13  16  18  21  22  23  24  25  26  26
20 FT wind gust.15  16  18  22  24  25  26  28  29  30  31  31
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.3 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.8
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...Dorn
Requested by...Jade Drause
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415166.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jade_drause@fws.gov