447
FXAK67 PAJK 182213
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
213 PM AKDT Sat May 18 2024

.SHORT TERM.../through Sunday night/...Ridge of high pressure
slides east tonight ahead of the next system. Surface low pressure
will track along the southern coast of Alaska tonight into
Sunday. The associated front will swing towards the panhandle,
bringing the next round of rain and wind.

Rainfall rates and total rainfall amounts aren`t too impressive by
SE AK standards. Most areas will see light to moderate rainfall
with 24 hour amounts less than a half inch. For areas where the
topography usually enhances the rainfall, amounts could be a
little more but still less than 1 inch. But overall, not very
impactful.

Wind speeds along the front will reach near gales in the gulf.
And as the front moves inland, wind speeds in the inner channels
will reach near 20 to 25 knots. Land areas will likely experience
brief gusty winds as the front passes over.

.LONG TERM.../ Monday through Thursday night / Progressive pattern
continues across the gulf and Southeast Alaska. Residual showers
on Monday are being moved out of the area by a ridge across the
gulf Tuesday into early Wednesday. With potential breaks, may need
to watch for patchy fog development, however, do not have
mentioned in forecast at this time.

The next front in the pattern will be moving across the gulf
Wednesday and looks to be pushing into the panhandle Thursday.
This front is not looking as strong as the mid week one, so just
anticipating light rain and minor increase in the winds.

&&

.AVIATION...Residual shower activity in the morning with marginal
VFR conditions transitioned to VFR clear and calm. Weather moves back
in on Sunday with instrument conditions from the Icy Strait corridor
northward & along the northeast Gulf Coast with precipitation across
all of Southeast Alaska. Minor turbulence late Sunday morning for NE
Gulf Coast as front moves in with LLWS.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 7 AM AKDT Sunday for AKZ320-321.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ644-651-652-671-672.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-032-033-053-642-643-661>664.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GJS
LONG TERM....Bezenek
AVIATION...PRB

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