Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Versions:
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FNUS71 KALY 030910
FWSALY
Spot Forecast for APB CHUBB RX...Albany Pine Bush
National Weather Service Albany NY
510 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at alb.stormreport@noaa.gov, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Early morning isolated showers will give way to a
primarily dry day as a weak disturbances passes and high pressure
builds in across the region. Fair weather persists into Tuesday,
though minor increases in instability and humidity could lead to
widely scattered showers and thunderstorms over higher terrain
regions in the afternoon and evening. A strong upper-level system
will then move in from the west by late Wednesday, bringing periods
of widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms through the
remainder of the work week.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Dewpoint............55 decreasing to 51 in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph becoming around 7 mph late in
the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (50900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65 58 50 42 33 26 29 26 30 36 37 38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............66 67 68 70 73 77 80 82 83 84 84 83
Dewpoint........56 56 57 55 55 54 53 52 51 51 51 51
RH..............70 69 67 59 53 45 39 35 33 32 32 33
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.5 5.1 6.8 8.0 8.5 8.3 7.3
Transp wind dir.NW N N N N NE NE N N N N N
Transp wind spd.6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 4 6 10 15 21 31 41 48 51 50 44
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............54.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 7 mph shifting to the south 3 to 5
mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (0 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............5.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40 35 30 25 23 21 19 19 20 21 22 24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............82 80 77 73 71 68 66 64 62 60 58 57
Dewpoint........52 52 55 54 55 56 55 55 55 55 55 55
RH..............35 38 47 51 57 65 68 73 78 84 90 93
20 FT wind dir..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW SW S S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 2 1 2
20 FT wind gust.7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N NW NW W SW S
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 5
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 7 7
Haines index....6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..31 15 3 0 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 2
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Dewpoint............58 increasing to 59 late in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (36300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26 24 22 21 28 36 44 48 52 51 51 50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............57 60 64 68 72 76 79 82 84 85 84 83
Dewpoint........56 56 58 59 60 61 60 59 58 58 58 59
RH..............96 87 81 73 66 60 52 46 41 40 41 44
20 FT wind dir..S S S S SE SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 6
20 FT wind gust.3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.5 4.1 5.7 6.9 6.9 6.2 5.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.6 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 8
LVORI...........7 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3 5 7 7 8 10 15 22 27 33 36 36
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Gant
Requested by...Tyler Briggs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415531.0/ALY
.DELDT 06/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tbriggs@albanypinebush.org