Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 271941
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
341 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

Fire Weather:

...Showers continue tonight and linger through Tuesday evening...

.DISCUSSION...

Periods of rainfall will continue to impact Northern Michigan
tonight and Tuesday with a few thunderstorms remaining possible.
Winds will turn northwesterly tonight and continue through Tuesday
gusting to around 20 mph. High pressure moves in Tuesday night and
allows for RH`s to drop this Wednesday and Thursday. More details
will come with future forecasts.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-280815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
341 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain until 2400, then
                    chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.18- 0.62 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    until 1200Slight chance of rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent drier...except 28 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (740).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....44-49.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (55).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 34-39 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (782).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
341 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain until 2400, then
                    chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (70).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.62 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......39 percent drier...except 34 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (779).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.15 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (75).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (785).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
341 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain until 2400, then
                    chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (53).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.31 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......32 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (426).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (65).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (705).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-280815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
341 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain likely until
                    2400, then chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (63).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.21 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    until 1200Slight chance of rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......41 percent drier...except 35 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (693).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 37-42 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (808).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
341 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain until 2400, then
                    chance of rain.
Min Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (86).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.61 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......41 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (926).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (69).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1015).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SJC