528
FNUS53 KAPX 291904
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
304 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024

...Very low humidities continue Thursday and Friday...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure is gradually dropping south from
northern Ontario. This will provide quiet weather through the end
of the work week. Very dry air will be overhead, with relative
humidity values lowering into the 20s percent on both Thursday and
Friday afternoons. Some teens may be possible. Winds will be very
light Thursday, tending to be out of the north, but with onshore
lake breezes developing. A southwest breeze develops on Friday,
though still expected to be light.

Small rain chances arrive on Saturday, as a dying cold front moves
into northern Michigan.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-301100-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
304 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent...except 32-37 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (384).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent...except 35-40 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (481).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-301100-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
304 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (34).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (557).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 45-50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (478).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-301100-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
304 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (23).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (317).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....39-44...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 74-79 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (541).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-301100-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
304 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent...except 36-41 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter...except 9 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (391).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (13).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent...except 37-42 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (618).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-301100-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
304 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (32).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming north around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (602).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (654).
Mixing Height.......5800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ