667
FNUS53 KAPX 280923
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
523 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...Unsettled weather is expected across northern Michigan
today with low pressure remaining in the vicinity. This will result
in spotty showers and possibly a thunderstorm, especially this
afternoon. Drier weather and low afternoon RH values are expected
Wednesday into Friday, but winds are not expected to be very high.
The next best chance for measurable rainfall after tonight is not
until this weekend.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-282045-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
523 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 5 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (576).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 HR Trend......34 percent drier...except 24 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (557).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-282045-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
523 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72...except around 60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......37 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (666).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400Slight chance of rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........23-28 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (599).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-282045-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
523 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (443).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 78-83 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (47).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (560).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-282045-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
523 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......40 percent drier...except 26 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (626).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (51).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 27 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (680).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-282045-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
523 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200. Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......40 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (828).
Mixing Height.......5900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400. Slight chance of rain showers after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....47-52.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........85-90 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (48).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (738).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...CLEAR. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

PBB