Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
756 FNUS53 KAPX 270658 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 ...Periods of wet weather early this week... .DISCUSSION...Low pressure will cross northern Michigan today with periods of numerous rain showers and perhaps some embedded thunderstorms. Breezy west-northwest winds become the rule this afternoon with lingering periods of rain into tonight as moisture wraps around the departing system. Some scattered shower potential continues Tuesday, along with occasionally breezy winds. No RH concerns foreseen through midweek. MIZ016-017-021>023-099-272015- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Max Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........70-75 percent. 24 HR Trend......47 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (167). Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph shifting to the north in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.49- 1.13 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (114). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.29- 0.79 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....68-73...except around 60 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near the coast. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......35 percent drier...except 24 percent drier along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (620). Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.13 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-272015- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 1200. Max Temperature.....61-66...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........70-75 percent. 24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 27 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (180). Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 12 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.61 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....48-53. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......Unchanged. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (138). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.88 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain showers. Max Temperature.....68-73...except around 61 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........43-48 percent. 24 HR Trend......31 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (718). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.17 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-272015- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Rain showers likely. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 1200. Max Temperature.....58-63. 24 HR Trend......16 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........72-77 percent. 24 HR Trend......44 percent wetter...except 36 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (194). Mixing Height.......1300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....East around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.35- 1.34 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....47-52. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent...except 81-86 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (112). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.50 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....63-68...except 51-56 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........51-56 percent. 24 HR Trend......24 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (483). Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in . $$ MIZ031>033-272015- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 1200. Max Temperature.....59-64. 24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........72-77 percent. 24 HR Trend......32 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (254). Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the northwest around 12 mph in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.63 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers. Min Temperature.....49-54. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (136). Mixing Height.......800 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.38 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....65-70...except 58-63 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........47-52 percent. 24 HR Trend......27 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (699). Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in . $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-272015- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 258 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 .TODAY... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers until 1200. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely after 1200. Max Temperature.....62-67. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler. Min Humidity........67-72 percent. 24 HR Trend......42 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (266). Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.79 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely. Min Temperature.....48-53. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler. Max Humidity........92-97 percent. 24 HR Trend......1 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (186). Mixing Height.......900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.62 in. .TUESDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain showers until 1200. Max Temperature.....68-73. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........44-49 percent. 24 HR Trend......30 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (918). Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.14 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ MJG