Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
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388 FXUS64 KBMX 070626 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 126 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Saturday) Issued at 125 AM CDT FRI JUN 7 2024 The cold front this morning is current just across the northern counties of Alabama but will begin to slide south through the night and into Friday afternoon. In fact it should be along the Gulf Coast by 3 to 4 PM. Winds will be brisk at times but generally less than 15 mph. As we move through the afternoon, high pressure build in and will be in place through Saturday. Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s each day, with Saturday being the warmer of the two. 16 && .LONG TERM... (Through next Wednesday) Issued at 118 PM CDT THU JUN 6 2024 Forecast remains on track through early next week, with a frontal boundary to our north Sunday and limited rain coverage in Central Alabama Sunday and Sunday night. The front will stall, waiting for another shortwave arriving from the west. There is some uncertainty on timing of that shortwave, but expect an increase in rain chances in the Tuesday-Wednesday timeframe. 14 Previous long-term discussion: (Through next Wednesday) Issued at 322 AM CDT THU JUN 6 2024 A frontal boundary pushes southward into TN Valley and eventually into Central AL Sunday night through Monday, which will lead to increased rain/thunderstorm chances. However, with the drier air mass in place ahead of the boundary, there are some questions on the moisture return and therefore coverage of convective activity. Tuesday into Wednesday appear to be dry for now with the frontal boundary stalled to our south. 25/Owen && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 125 AM CDT FRI JUN 7 2024 Overall VFR for the period with light winds through 15z then increasing from the north to around 10 to 12 kts with the front moving through. Patchy fog will be possible this morning as we remain south of the front. Light winds will be in place after 3 to 4z. 16 && .FIRE WEATHER... Drier air filters in today behind a cold front, with rain free conditions expected areawide through Saturday night. Minimum RH values will range from 28 to 38 percent this afternoon and 30 to 40 percent Saturday afternoon. Overnight RH values will range from 75 to 90 percent. 20ft winds will remain from the northwest today, at 5 to 9 mph, before becoming light and variable on Saturday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 86 57 89 64 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 87 58 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 87 61 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 89 60 91 68 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 89 61 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 89 62 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 91 60 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 92 61 91 65 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....14 AVIATION...16