Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
063
UXUS97 KBOU 021307
SRGBOU
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
0706 MDT Sunday, June 2, 2024
This forecast is for Sunday, June 2, 2024:
If the trigger temperature of 79.2 F/26.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Excellent
Maximum rate of lift........................ 1750 ft/min (8.9 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 23140 ft MSL (17817 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 91.0 F/33.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1015 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1800 MDT
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... None
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 18700 ft MSL (13377 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Monday 06/03....... Excellent
Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1800 MDT).........
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1800 MDT)................ Neither
Potential height of wave....................... 19369 ft MSL (14046 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Monday 06/03.......... Poor
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 05:32:42 / 20:22:33 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 14 hr 49 min 51 sec (889 min 51 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:57:37 MDT... 72.55 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 06/02/2024 at 0600 MDT
Freezing level.................. 14795 ft MSL (9472 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16193 ft MSL (10870 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 17939 ft MSL (12616 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... -5.7
K index......................... +15.8
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -57.5 -71.5 265 39 20 -0.8 -0.4 M M M M M
45000 -58.5 -73.3 255 52 27 -0.2 -0.1 M M M M M
40000 -58.9 -74.0 240 56 29 -1.2 -0.7 M M M M M
38000 -55.2 -67.4 245 56 29 7.2 3.9 M M M M M
36000 -50.3 -58.5 250 56 29 7.2 3.9 M M M M M
34000 -45.9 -50.6 255 55 28 7.4 4.0 M M M M M
32000 -41.5 -42.7 255 53 27 7.4 4.0 M M M M M
30000 -36.9 -34.4 255 50 26 7.9 4.4 38.3 100.9 4.2 M M
29000 -34.5 -30.1 255 49 25 7.9 4.4 37.5 99.6 3.7 M M
28000 -32.1 -25.8 255 47 24 7.9 4.4 37.0 98.5 3.2 M M
27000 -29.8 -21.6 255 46 23 7.8 4.3 36.2 97.2 2.7 M M
26000 -27.4 -17.3 255 44 22 7.8 4.3 35.4 95.8 2.1 M M
25000 -25.1 -13.2 255 42 21 7.8 4.3 34.8 94.6 1.6 M M
24000 -22.9 -9.2 255 39 20 6.6 3.6 33.9 93.1 0.9 M M
23000 -20.9 -5.6 255 34 17 6.7 3.7 32.7 90.9 -0.1 1743 8.9
22000 -18.9 -2.0 250 29 15 6.8 3.7 31.7 89.0 -1.0 1654 8.4
21000 -16.7 1.9 250 28 14 8.1 4.4 30.8 87.5 -1.7 1559 7.9
20000 -14.3 6.3 255 29 15 8.2 4.5 30.2 86.4 -2.3 1457 7.4
19500 -13.1 8.4 260 30 15 8.2 4.5 30.0 86.0 -2.6 1406 7.1
19000 -11.9 10.6 260 31 16 8.2 4.5 29.7 85.5 -2.8 1355 6.9
18500 -10.0 14.0 260 31 16 8.6 4.7 29.4 85.0 -3.2 1277 6.5
18000 -8.7 16.3 265 30 15 8.8 4.8 29.2 84.6 -3.4 1224 6.2
17500 -7.4 18.7 265 30 15 9.6 5.2 29.2 84.5 -3.5 1169 5.9
17000 -6.0 21.2 265 29 15 9.5 5.2 29.1 84.4 -3.6 1112 5.6
16500 -4.6 23.7 265 28 15 9.5 5.2 29.1 84.3 -3.6 1055 5.4
16000 -3.2 26.2 265 27 14 9.5 5.2 29.0 84.2 -3.7 998 5.1
15500 -1.7 28.9 265 26 13 9.3 5.1 29.0 84.2 -3.8 940 4.8
15000 -0.4 31.3 265 25 13 9.1 5.0 28.9 84.0 -3.9 885 4.5
14500 1.0 33.8 265 24 13 9.1 5.0 28.8 83.8 -4.0 829 4.2
14000 2.4 36.3 270 23 12 9.5 5.2 28.7 83.7 -4.1 773 3.9
13500 3.8 38.8 270 22 11 9.6 5.2 28.7 83.6 -4.2 716 3.6
13000 5.1 41.2 270 20 10 8.8 4.8 28.6 83.4 -4.3 660 3.4
12500 6.5 43.7 270 18 9 8.9 4.9 28.4 83.2 -4.5 605 3.1
12000 7.8 46.0 270 16 8 8.6 4.7 28.3 82.9 -4.7 552 2.8
11500 9.0 48.2 270 14 7 8.7 4.8 28.1 82.6 -4.9 499 2.5
11000 10.3 50.5 275 13 7 8.1 4.4 27.9 82.2 -5.1 446 2.3
10500 11.5 52.7 275 12 6 7.6 4.2 27.6 81.7 -5.4 396 2.0
10250 12.1 53.8 275 11 6 9.5 5.2 27.5 81.5 -5.6 370 1.9
10000 12.8 55.0 270 10 5 8.7 4.8 27.5 81.5 -5.6 341 1.7
9750 13.3 55.9 265 10 5 6.4 3.5 27.3 81.1 -5.8 319 1.6
9500 13.8 56.8 260 9 5 6.9 3.8 27.0 80.7 -6.1 297 1.5
9250 14.3 57.7 255 9 5 7.3 4.0 26.8 80.3 -6.3 275 1.4
9000 14.8 58.6 250 9 4 5.2 2.9 26.6 79.9 -6.6 253 1.3
8750 15.0 59.0 250 8 4 2.9 1.6 26.1 79.0 -7.1 239 1.2
8500 15.2 59.4 245 8 4 4.2 2.3 25.6 78.1 -7.7 225 1.1
8250 15.4 59.7 240 8 4 1.6 0.9 25.2 77.3 -8.2 211 1.1
8000 15.4 59.7 240 6 3 -1.6 -0.9 24.4 75.8 -9.0 206 1.0
7750 15.2 59.4 240 5 2 -1.3 -0.7 23.5 74.3 -9.9 203 1.0
7500 15.1 59.2 240 4 2 -1.5 -0.8 22.6 72.7 -10.8 200 1.0
7250 14.9 58.8 250 2 1 -0.0 -0.0 21.8 71.3 -11.7 197 1.0
7000 15.0 59.0 285 1 0 1.3 0.7 21.1 70.1 -12.5 188 1.0
6750 15.0 59.0 035 1 1 2.0 1.1 20.5 68.9 -13.1 179 0.9
6500 15.2 59.4 050 3 1 1.8 1.0 19.9 67.9 -13.8 167 0.8
6250 15.2 59.4 055 2 1 -0.4 -0.2 19.2 66.6 -14.5 160 0.8
6000 15.0 59.0 085 1 0 -1.6 -0.9 18.4 65.2 -15.5 157 0.8
5750 14.9 58.8 210 1 1 0.5 0.2 17.6 63.7 -16.4 154 0.8
5500 14.8 58.6 215 4 2 -5.2 -2.9 16.8 62.3 -17.2 149 0.8
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
06/02/2024 at 0900 MDT | 06/02/2024 at 1200 MDT
|
CAPE... +85.9 LI... +0.2 | CAPE... +290.6 LI... -1.3
CINH... -217.7 K Index... +11.1 | CINH... -21.9 K Index... +14.4
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -56.2 -69.2 265 34 18 0.3 0.1 | -56.1 -69.0 260 29 15 1.3 0.7
45000 -56.2 -69.2 260 47 24 -1.8 -1.0 | -54.9 -66.8 260 43 22 -2.7 -1.5
40000 -59.0 -74.2 240 56 29 -1.3 -0.7 | -59.2 -74.6 245 60 31 -2.1 -1.2
38000 -55.5 -67.9 240 56 29 6.6 3.6 | -55.8 -68.4 245 57 30 6.5 3.6
36000 -51.6 -60.9 245 55 28 6.6 3.6 | -51.9 -61.4 245 54 28 6.5 3.6
34000 -47.3 -53.1 245 54 28 7.6 4.2 | -47.5 -53.5 245 51 26 7.9 4.3
32000 -42.8 -45.0 250 52 27 7.6 4.2 | -42.8 -45.0 245 50 26 7.9 4.3
30000 -38.1 -36.6 250 49 25 8.0 4.4 | -37.9 -36.2 245 46 24 8.3 4.5
29000 -35.1 -31.2 250 47 24 8.1 4.4 | -34.8 -30.6 245 44 23 8.3 4.6
28000 -32.7 -26.9 255 45 23 8.1 4.4 | -32.3 -26.1 250 42 22 8.3 4.5
27000 -30.3 -22.5 255 43 22 7.8 4.3 | -29.8 -21.6 250 40 21 8.3 4.6
26000 -28.0 -18.4 255 41 21 7.8 4.3 | -27.3 -17.1 250 38 20 8.3 4.6
25000 -25.6 -14.1 255 39 20 7.8 4.3 | -24.8 -12.6 250 37 19 8.3 4.6
24000 -23.4 -10.1 255 36 19 7.2 4.0 | -22.5 -8.5 255 36 19 7.4 4.0
23000 -21.2 -6.2 250 33 17 7.2 4.0 | -20.3 -4.5 255 36 18 7.3 4.0
22000 -19.1 -2.4 250 30 15 7.2 4.0 | -18.1 -0.6 255 36 18 7.4 4.0
21000 -16.7 1.9 250 30 16 8.2 4.5 | -16.0 3.2 255 36 18 6.9 3.8
20000 -14.3 6.3 250 33 17 8.3 4.5 | -13.9 7.0 255 36 19 7.0 3.8
19500 -13.1 8.4 250 34 17 8.3 4.5 | -12.9 8.8 255 36 19 7.0 3.9
19000 -11.8 10.8 250 35 18 8.2 4.5 | -11.9 10.6 260 37 19 7.4 4.1
18500 -10.7 12.7 250 34 18 8.0 4.4 | -10.7 12.7 260 35 18 8.3 4.6
18000 -9.5 14.9 250 33 17 7.9 4.3 | -9.6 14.7 260 34 17 8.4 4.6
17500 -8.2 17.2 250 31 16 9.5 5.2 | -8.3 17.1 255 32 17 9.2 5.1
17000 -6.8 19.8 250 30 16 9.6 5.3 | -7.0 19.4 255 30 16 9.3 5.1
16500 -5.4 22.3 255 29 15 9.5 5.2 | -5.6 21.9 255 28 15 9.4 5.2
16000 -4.0 24.8 255 28 15 9.4 5.1 | -4.2 24.4 255 27 14 9.5 5.2
15500 -2.0 28.4 260 27 14 9.6 5.3 | -2.8 27.0 255 25 13 9.5 5.2
15000 -0.5 31.1 260 26 13 9.7 5.3 | -0.6 30.9 255 23 12 9.4 5.1
14500 0.9 33.6 260 24 13 9.6 5.3 | 0.8 33.4 250 22 11 9.3 5.1
14000 2.3 36.1 260 23 12 9.4 5.1 | 2.1 35.8 250 20 11 9.0 4.9
13500 3.7 38.7 265 22 11 9.4 5.1 | 3.5 38.3 250 19 10 9.0 4.9
13000 5.1 41.2 265 21 11 9.8 5.4 | 4.8 40.6 250 18 9 9.2 5.1
12500 6.6 43.9 265 19 10 9.8 5.4 | 6.2 43.2 250 17 9 9.2 5.0
12000 8.0 46.4 265 18 9 9.4 5.2 | 7.6 45.7 245 16 8 9.3 5.1
11500 9.4 48.9 265 17 9 9.6 5.2 | 8.9 48.0 245 15 8 9.4 5.2
11000 10.7 51.3 265 16 8 7.7 4.2 | 10.3 50.5 245 14 7 8.1 4.4
10500 11.8 53.2 265 15 8 7.6 4.2 | 11.5 52.7 245 13 7 8.8 4.8
10250 12.5 54.5 265 15 8 10.2 5.6 | 12.2 54.0 245 13 7 11.1 6.1
10000 13.3 55.9 265 14 7 9.6 5.3 | 13.0 55.4 240 12 6 10.2 5.6
9750 13.8 56.8 265 13 7 7.2 3.9 | 13.7 56.7 240 12 6 8.9 4.9
9500 14.4 57.9 265 12 6 7.8 4.3 | 14.4 57.9 240 11 6 9.3 5.1
9250 15.0 59.0 265 12 6 7.7 4.2 | 15.1 59.2 240 11 6 9.1 5.0
9000 15.5 59.9 265 11 6 6.9 3.8 | 15.8 60.4 235 10 5 9.1 5.0
8750 16.0 60.8 265 10 5 6.1 3.3 | 16.4 61.5 235 10 5 9.3 5.1
8500 16.4 61.5 265 10 5 6.4 3.5 | 17.1 62.8 235 9 5 8.9 4.9
8250 16.9 62.4 265 9 5 6.0 3.3 | 17.8 64.0 235 9 4 10.1 5.6
8000 17.2 63.0 265 8 4 3.6 2.0 | 18.6 65.5 230 8 4 9.1 5.0
7750 17.3 63.1 270 8 4 1.5 0.8 | 19.1 66.4 225 7 3 6.9 3.8
7500 17.4 63.3 270 7 4 1.5 0.8 | 19.6 67.3 220 6 3 7.3 4.0
7250 17.4 63.3 270 7 3 -0.6 -0.3 | 20.1 68.2 210 5 2 8.8 4.8
7000 17.2 63.0 270 5 3 -2.0 -1.1 | 20.8 69.4 200 4 2 10.0 5.5
6750 17.0 62.6 265 4 2 -2.0 -1.1 | 21.4 70.5 195 3 2 9.8 5.4
6500 16.8 62.2 255 2 1 -0.1 -0.1 | 22.2 72.0 190 3 2 10.1 5.6
6250 17.0 62.6 240 2 1 4.7 2.6 | 22.9 73.2 190 3 1 10.6 5.8
6000 17.3 63.1 225 2 1 6.2 3.4 | 23.7 74.7 190 3 1 11.1 6.1
5750 17.7 63.9 210 2 1 6.6 3.6 | 24.5 76.1 190 2 1 9.5 5.2
5500 18.4 65.1 205 2 1 14.6 8.0 | 25.3 77.5 190 2 1 14.8 8.1
06/02/2024 at 1500 MDT | 06/02/2024 at 1800 MDT
|
CAPE... +46.1 LI... +0.4 | CAPE... +101.6 LI... +0.2
CINH... -19.7 K Index... +14.2 | CINH... -45.6 K Index... +16.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -56.2 -69.2 260 30 15 1.5 0.8 | -55.7 -68.3 260 31 16 1.6 0.9
45000 -54.9 -66.8 265 43 22 -3.2 -1.7 | -54.4 -65.9 270 37 19 -3.4 -1.8
40000 -59.9 -75.8 250 51 26 -2.6 -1.4 | -59.4 -74.9 265 46 24 -3.5 -1.9
38000 -56.4 -69.5 255 47 24 6.7 3.7 | -56.2 -69.2 260 40 21 6.3 3.5
36000 -52.4 -62.3 260 43 22 6.6 3.6 | -52.4 -62.3 260 34 18 6.3 3.5
34000 -47.7 -53.9 260 40 21 9.0 5.0 | -47.7 -53.9 260 31 16 9.2 5.0
32000 -42.3 -44.1 260 38 20 9.0 5.0 | -42.2 -44.0 265 31 16 9.2 5.0
30000 -36.6 -33.9 260 38 19 8.0 4.4 | -36.7 -34.1 265 31 16 7.4 4.1
29000 -34.2 -29.6 255 38 20 8.0 4.4 | -34.4 -29.9 265 31 16 7.4 4.1
28000 -31.8 -25.2 255 38 20 8.1 4.4 | -32.2 -26.0 260 31 16 7.4 4.1
27000 -29.5 -21.1 255 38 19 7.4 4.1 | -30.0 -22.0 255 31 16 7.5 4.1
26000 -27.3 -17.1 255 37 19 7.4 4.1 | -27.8 -18.0 250 30 15 7.5 4.1
25000 -25.1 -13.2 255 36 18 7.4 4.0 | -25.5 -13.9 245 29 15 7.6 4.2
24000 -23.0 -9.4 255 35 18 7.0 3.8 | -23.2 -9.8 245 28 15 8.4 4.6
23000 -20.9 -5.6 250 34 17 7.0 3.9 | -20.7 -5.3 240 27 14 8.5 4.6
22000 -18.9 -2.0 245 33 17 7.1 3.9 | -18.2 -0.8 235 26 13 8.5 4.7
21000 -16.5 2.3 245 31 16 8.8 4.8 | -15.8 3.6 230 25 13 8.1 4.4
20000 -13.9 7.0 245 29 15 8.8 4.8 | -13.4 7.9 230 23 12 8.1 4.4
19500 -12.6 9.3 245 28 14 8.8 4.8 | -12.2 10.0 230 22 12 8.1 4.4
19000 -11.3 11.7 245 26 14 8.9 4.9 | -11.0 12.2 225 22 11 8.2 4.5
18500 -9.9 14.2 245 25 13 9.1 5.0 | -9.8 14.4 225 21 11 8.2 4.5
18000 -8.6 16.5 245 24 12 9.1 5.0 | -8.5 16.7 230 20 10 8.1 4.5
17500 -7.2 19.0 245 23 12 9.3 5.1 | -7.2 19.0 230 19 10 9.6 5.3
17000 -5.8 21.6 245 22 11 9.3 5.1 | -5.8 21.6 230 18 9 9.7 5.3
16500 -4.4 24.1 245 21 11 9.3 5.1 | -4.3 24.3 230 17 9 9.6 5.2
16000 -3.0 26.6 245 19 10 9.3 5.1 | -2.2 28.0 230 15 8 9.4 5.1
15500 -0.9 30.4 245 18 9 9.3 5.1 | -0.8 30.6 230 14 7 9.2 5.0
15000 0.4 32.7 245 17 9 9.2 5.1 | 0.5 32.9 230 12 6 9.0 4.9
14500 1.8 35.2 245 15 8 9.1 5.0 | 1.9 35.4 230 11 6 9.0 5.0
14000 3.1 37.6 240 14 7 8.7 4.8 | 3.2 37.8 230 10 5 9.1 5.0
13500 4.5 40.1 240 13 6 8.8 4.8 | 4.6 40.3 230 10 5 9.1 5.0
13000 5.8 42.4 240 11 6 9.1 5.0 | 6.0 42.8 230 8 4 9.0 5.0
12500 7.1 44.8 240 9 5 9.1 5.0 | 7.3 45.1 230 7 4 9.1 5.0
12000 8.5 47.3 240 8 4 9.3 5.1 | 8.7 47.7 230 5 3 8.8 4.8
11500 9.8 49.6 240 6 3 9.3 5.1 | 9.9 49.8 250 4 2 8.9 4.9
11000 11.2 52.2 245 6 3 8.8 4.9 | 11.2 52.2 285 3 2 8.1 4.5
10500 12.5 54.5 245 5 3 9.9 5.4 | 12.4 54.3 310 4 2 8.8 4.8
10250 13.3 55.9 250 5 3 12.0 6.6 | 13.1 55.6 320 5 2 10.8 5.9
10000 14.2 57.6 250 5 3 10.6 5.8 | 13.9 57.0 325 5 3 10.1 5.6
9750 14.9 58.8 250 5 3 9.6 5.2 | 14.6 58.3 330 6 3 9.2 5.1
9500 15.6 60.1 250 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 15.3 59.5 335 7 3 9.2 5.1
9250 16.3 61.3 255 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 16.0 60.8 335 7 4 10.1 5.6
9000 17.1 62.8 255 5 3 10.1 5.6 | 16.8 62.2 340 8 4 10.3 5.6
8750 17.9 64.2 255 5 3 9.7 5.3 | 17.5 63.5 340 8 4 9.5 5.2
8500 18.6 65.5 255 5 3 9.1 5.0 | 18.2 64.8 340 9 4 9.2 5.1
8250 19.3 66.7 255 5 3 11.9 6.5 | 18.9 66.0 345 9 5 11.1 6.1
8000 20.3 68.5 260 5 3 11.4 6.2 | 19.8 67.6 345 10 5 10.8 5.9
7750 20.9 69.6 260 5 3 8.2 4.5 | 20.5 68.9 350 10 5 8.7 4.8
7500 21.6 70.9 260 5 3 8.8 4.9 | 21.2 70.2 350 11 5 9.0 5.0
7250 22.3 72.1 260 5 3 10.0 5.5 | 21.9 71.4 350 11 6 9.9 5.5
7000 23.1 73.6 265 5 3 10.8 5.9 | 22.7 72.9 355 12 6 10.5 5.8
6750 23.8 74.8 265 5 3 9.4 5.2 | 23.4 74.1 355 12 6 9.3 5.1
6500 24.5 76.1 265 5 3 9.5 5.2 | 24.1 75.4 355 12 6 9.3 5.1
6250 25.3 77.5 265 5 3 11.0 6.0 | 24.8 76.6 355 12 6 10.5 5.7
6000 26.2 79.2 265 5 3 12.1 6.6 | 25.6 78.1 355 12 6 11.2 6.1
5750 27.0 80.6 270 5 3 10.2 5.6 | 26.4 79.5 355 12 6 9.5 5.2
5500 27.8 82.0 270 5 2 14.9 8.2 | 27.0 80.6 360 12 6 9.1 5.0
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at
North Latitude: 39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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