Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
900 FXXX12 KWNP 130031 DAYDIS :Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2024 Jun 13 0030 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Forecast Discussion # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity reached moderate levels due to an isolated M1.2 flare from Region 3711 (S09E12, Bxo/beta). Region 3709 (S10E02, Cai/beta) exhibited weak redevelopment in its intermediate and trailing spots and produced a C3.3 flare at 12/1524 UTC. Three new regions were numbered during the period: AR 3714 (N14E24, Bxo/beta), AR 3715 (N17E49, Bxo/beta), and AR 3716 (N10E62, Cro/beta). The remaining active regions were stable and relatively quiet. An approximate 50 degree filament eruption was observed centered near S38E55 beginning at 12/1100 UTC. We are currently waiting on coronagraph imagery to determine if there is an Earth-directed component. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels, with a chance for isolated moderate activity (R1/Minor Radio Blackouts) through 15 Jun. Energetic Particles .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is elevated, but below S1 threshold in response to the far sided halo CME from late on 11 Jun. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to remain at normal to moderate levels through 15 Jun. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to reach S1 (Minor) solar radiation levels on 13 Jun and eventually return to near background levels on 14-15 Jun. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were indicative of a background solar wind regime. Total field dropped below 5 nT, the Bz component had no significant southward deflections, and wind speeds averaged near 350 km/s. Phi was predominantly positive. .Forecast... Background conditions are anticipated through 15 Jun. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was quiet. .Forecast... Mostly quiet conditions, with a chance for isolated unsettled periods, are anticipated through 15 Jun.