573
FNUS73 KDLH 191526
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for SUNFISH  RX...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1026 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 19.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly sunny and dry conditions will prevail for today. Highs will
be around 70 with afternoon RH values falling into the 25 to 30
percent range. Winds will be westerly at 6 to 12 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph. No issues with smoke dispersal are expected this
afternoon. Mostly cloudy tonight with chances for showers
increasing after 3AM. Rain showers will persist through the
morning hours Monday before tapering off Monday afternoon.
Rainfall totals through Monday afternoon will be in the 0.10 to
0.20 inch range. Highs Monday will be around 63 with afternoon RH
values falling to around 60 percent. Winds will be from the
southeast at 5 to 10 mph and then shift to the southwest by mid to
late afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 12 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 6100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 22 to 31 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (86400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (131100-148300 knot-ft) in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then decreasing to
                    excellent (85300-102400 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............60  62  64  65  67  68  68  68  69
RH..............39  36  34  31  29  28  28  29  28
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..11  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  9
20 FT wind gust.19  19  20  21  21  21  20  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.1 5.1 4.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.28  31  31  29  29  26  25  23  22
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100086  131 140 138 148 138 134 102 85

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles overnight. Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL decreasing to 1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest 7
                    to 10 mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (72300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    fair (1100-14800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............67     62     54     52     50     49
RH..............32     39     52     56     61     63
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 5   W 3    SW 2   S 2    SE 2
20 ft wind gust.16     14     12     8      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....4300   400    200    200    400    200
Transport wind..W 20   SW 10  SW 9   SW 7   S 8    S 7
Haines index....5      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100072     4      2      1      3      1

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning, then chance
                    of rain showers in the morning. Slight chance
                    of rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1700-16500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.09 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     40     40     30     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............49     53     56     57     60     62
RH..............71     69     66     69     62     60
20 ft wind......SE 3   E 4    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   E 4
20 ft wind gust.8      9      11     11     9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    1400   1600   1800   2000
Transport wind..S 8    SE 7   SE 13  SE 12  S 9    SW 6
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10003      3      15     17     14     10

$$
Forecaster...Bryan
Requested by...Scott Grasmick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414644.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.grasmick@usda.gov