Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
804
FNUS73 KDLH 242334
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
634 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on May 24.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
Search site and General Ely Forecast -
Southeasterly winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph will
diminish this evening to around 5 to 15 mph and turn
southwesterly overnight. Winds then remain southwesterly for
Saturday at 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 25 mph through the
day before becoming light and variable Saturday night.
Light showers will remain possible this evening through midnight
with a 20% chance for a thunderstorm through about 8pm. Overall
lightning activity is expected to be low. Dry conditions are then
expected for Saturday with low chances for showers and an isolated
thunderstorm returning late Saturday afternoon and persisting
through Saturday night. Low chances for showers will then
continue for Sunday. Rainfall amounts through Sunday will be
around a tenth of an inch or less.
Ely Visibility and Ceilings -
VFR conditions will prevail into this evening with brief dips to
MVFR at times as showers pass. Ceilings of 1500-2000 feet will be
possible in these showers, but visibilities look to remain above 6
miles. Ceilings are forecast to lower to MVFR this evening
(1000-1500 feet) and may dip to IFR (around 900 feet) for a time
during the early morning hours. VFR conditions then return by
mid-to late Saturday morning and prevail through the day. MVFR
conditions will then be possible heading into Saturday evening as
chances for showers return.
To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and
chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then
slight chance of rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...29 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 10 to 17 mph with gusts to around
29 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to 10 mph
overnight.
Ceiling (kft).......3.0 decreasing to 1.3 early in the evening,
then increasing to 1.9 late in the evening
decreasing to 1.3 late in the evening
decreasing to 0.9 increasing to 1.1 overnight.
Visibility (sm).....7 decreasing to 6 late in the evening, then
increasing to 10 overnight.
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60 50 40 40 40 20 10 10 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 0 0 0 10 10 0 0 0
Temp............51 49 48 47 46 46 44 41 40 39 38
RH..............77 83 86 89 93 93 93 96 92 92 96
Surface wnd dir.SE SE SE SE S S SW SW SW SW SW
Surface wnd spd.17 12 12 11 10 9 9 9 9 10 10
Surface wnd gst.29 26 23 21 20 17 17 16 17 17 17
Ceiling (kft)...3.0 1.3 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2
Visibility (sm).9 7 7 6 8 10 10 10 10 10 10
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
early in the morning.
Ceiling (kft).......1.0 increasing to 11.
Visibility (sm).....10.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).10 0 0 0 0 10
Temp............38 41 46 53 58 61
RH..............96 85 71 59 49 48
Surface wind....SW 10 SW 12 SW 14 W 14 W 14 W 13
Surface wnd gst.17 20 22 24 25 24
Ceiling (kft)...1.1 1.0 1.8 5.8 11 11
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the evening. Slight
chance of thunderstorms overnight. Slight
chance of rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20
mph early in the evening becoming light.
Ceiling (kft).......11 increasing to 20 early in the evening, then
decreasing to 18 late in the evening decreasing
to 15 overnight decreasing to 11.
Visibility (sm).....10.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 20
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 20
Temp............62 55 48 45
RH..............48 66 86 93
Surface wind....W 10G20 W 4G9 NW 2G5 NE 1G3
Ceiling (kft)...11 18 15 11
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northeast 6 to 7 mph late
in the morning.
Ceiling (kft).......MISSING.
Visibility (sm).....MISSING.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 30
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10
Temp............45 58 65
RH..............96 62 50
Surface wind....NE 2G5 E 3G7 E 7G13
Ceiling (kft)...
Visibility (sm).
$$
Forecaster...Bryan
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.5/DLH
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 7296@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org,7337@slcrs.org,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov,7101@slcrs.org,Emergency@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,7310@slcrs.org