829
FNUS73 KDLH 020843
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for BWCA SAR...St. Louis County EM
National Weather Service Duluth MN
343 AM CDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on June 02.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Search site and General Ely Forecast -

Sunny skies to start the day with southerly winds increasing
through the day. Highs will soar into the mid 70s with winds
gusting into the lower teens by the afternoon. There is a band of
showers entering central MN this morning that has a 20% chance of
holding together and moving over the International Border by early
afternoon. The main show will be in the overnight hours as a
strong convective system moves out of the Dakotas and across the
Upper Midwest. Most of the high res guidance has this line of
activity entering the forecast site after midnight. We currently
expect it to lose a lot of its strength by the time it moves this
far east with main threats being lightning, moderate rainfall, and
some breezy winds up to 50 mph. Depending on how storms track some
minor flooding/ponding will be possible.

Ely Visibility and Ceilings -

VFR conditions through the day. Conditions begin to deteriorate
this evening as a line of showers and storms enter from the west.
Currently expect this line to breach Ely after midnight with
ceilings quickly falling to MVFR thereafter.

To obtain an official pre-flight weather briefing call
1-800-992-7433

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south 6 to 11 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Ceiling (kft).......25 decreasing to 12 late in the afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....10.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............48  52  60  65  69  72  74  75  76  76  76  76
RH..............67  74  54  42  30  25  22  22  24  26  28  29
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.3   3   3   4   6   7   7   8   9   10  11  11
Surface wnd gst.8   5   6   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16  17
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  13  12  14
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...29 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 10 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the evening.
Ceiling (kft).......12 increasing to 22 late in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 7.6 late in the evening
                    increasing to 8.8 overnight decreasing to 6.7
                    decreasing to 4.7 after 3 am decreasing to 2.6
                    decreasing to 1.9 early in the morning.
Visibility (sm).....9.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     30     50     80     90
Chc of thdr (%).10     10     10     10     30     30
Temp............74     68     62     60     58     56
RH..............31     38     54     64     77     90
Surface wind....S 11   SE 10  SE 10  S 10   S 11   S 11
Surface wnd gst.18     18     15     15     16     16
Ceiling (kft)...13     12     22     7.6    6.7    2.6
Visibility (sm).10     10     10     9      9      9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......1.3 decreasing to 0.5.
Visibility (sm).....8 decreasing to 7 late in the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY    MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70        40        30        20
Chc of thdr (%).30        30        20        30
Temp............56        62        66        70
RH..............93        87        75        68
Surface wind....S 11G15   S 9G14    S 9G14    S 7G13
Ceiling (kft)...1.3       0.5
Visibility (sm).10        8

$$
Forecaster...Lee
Requested by...Alex Rice
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2414880.11/DLH
.DELDT 06/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 7337@slcrs.org,kelvin.mccuskey@state.mn.us,7296@slcrs.org,7101@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org,Emergency@slcrs.org,7310@slcrs.org,BrinkmanJ@stlouiscountymn.gov,JohnsonD@stlouiscountymn.gov