247
FNUS53 KDTX 240758
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
358 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure hold across the region today.
Temperatures will rise from around 50 this morning into the low 80s
in the afternoon which helps humidity drop down to around 30 percent
on light SE wind. Rain showers become likely tonight with a chance
of thunderstorms into Saturday morning. Dry weather Saturday
afternoon continues into early Sunday until the next round of
showers and unsettled weather arrives later Sunday through Monday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-242115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
358 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6220-6720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming east early in
                    the morning, then becoming south in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (756).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 am. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 pm until 2 am, then rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4570-5070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (671).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-242115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
358 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming east.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4850-5350 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (557).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South around 10 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4600-5100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (700).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-242115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
358 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........24-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6010-6510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (747).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm, then chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2 am, then showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4650-5150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (667).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 70.

$$

DRK