198
FNUS53 KDTX 282005
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
405 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...Numerous showers and thunderstorms occur this afternoon
and this evening as another low pressure system slides through
Indiana and Ohio. Showers linger on a scattered basis closer to the
Ohio border early Wednesday before the system clears the region and
high pressure brings dry conditions for the balance of the week.
Cool temperatures in the mid 60s to around 70 midweek will moderate
back into the 70s by Friday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-291415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
405 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 am, then showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6410-6910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (833).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    11 pm until 5 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4330-4830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (688).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........67-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 10 mph becoming northwest in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......280-480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming north in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-291415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
405 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 pm. Rain showers likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4740-5240 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (649).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2 am. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north around 15
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3440-3940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (655).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......280-480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-291415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
405 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm, then rain
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4930-5430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (664).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 5 am,
                    then chance of showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Min temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (841).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

BT