Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 080658
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0158 AM CDT Sat Jun 08 2024

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...Synopsis...
A midlevel ridge will remain in place across the Southwest,
supporting continued warm/dry conditions across the region. Along
the western portion of the ridge, a modest surface pressure gradient
will contribute to 15-20 mph sustained southwesterly surface winds
across parts of southern AZ, southwest NM, and far west TX -- where
fuels are receptive to fire spread. The combination of mid/upper 90s
surface temperatures and single-digit RH amid the breezy surface
winds will favor elevated fire-weather conditions during the
afternoon.

Additionally, a weak/subtle shortwave trough will track northward
along the western periphery of the ridge, promoting isolated
high-based thunderstorms across parts of southern NM and far west TX
during the afternoon -- given sufficient midlevel moisture atop the
deeply mixed boundary layer. Limited rainfall is expected with these
storms, owing to a deep inverted-V thermodynamic profile. As a
result, isolated lightning-induced ignitions will be possible.

..Weinman.. 06/08/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$