Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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656
FNUS22 KWNS 171804
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previous forecast remains on track. Breezy westerlies over the
northern Rockies and Plains are expected Saturday, but fuel states
and marginal RH will keep fire spread potential relatively low
there. It still appears some localized elevated to critical
conditions may develop across the southern FL peninsula. However,
the area of concern remains too small to warrant an Elevated
highlight.

..Barnes/Weinman.. 05/17/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0122 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024/

...Synopsis...
During the day Saturday, more zonal mid-level flow is expected to
develop across the western CONUS as the trough over the northern
Plains moves into Canada and ridging starts to build across the
central CONUS. Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in areas
with a deeply mixed airmass below the stronger mid-level flow across
the northern Rockies. However, fuels are moist and not favorable for
large fire spread. Farther south where fuels are dry (Southwest into
the southern High Plains), winds should be mostly light. Therefore,
despite single-digit relative humidity, overall fire weather
concerns remain low.

Some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the Florida Peninsula
on Saturday with winds of 15 to 20 mph and relative humidity of 30
to 40 percent. Fuels appear most favorable south of Lake Okeechobee,
while the dry/breezy conditions will mostly be north of there. Since
there is minimal overlap of the dry fuels and the worst conditions,
no Elevated delineation has been highlighted at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$