809
ACUS03 KWNS 090704
SWODY3
SPC AC 090703

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0203 AM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail,
will be possible on Tuesday across parts of the southern Plains.

...Southern Plains...
An ill-defined shortwave trough is forecast to move eastward into
the southern Plain on Tuesday. At the surface, a moist airmass is
forecast across much Texas and Oklahoma. As surface temperatures
warm during the day, scattered thunderstorms are expected to form
across parts of this moist airmass. Thunderstorm development will be
most likely along residual outflow boundaries, and in areas where
instability becomes locally maximized. Although the models are not
focused on any particular area across the southern Plains, there is
agreement that at least one or two convective clusters could develop
and persist for several hours during the afternoon and evening.
Across most of the moist airmass, moderate instability is expected
to be in place by afternoon. Although low to mid-level flow will be
somewhat weak, winds are forecast to veer with height over much of
the region. This directional shear could be enough for a marginal
severe threat. Hail and strong wind gusts will be the primary
threats during the late afternoon and early evening, as instability
maximizes. A convective cluster, associated with a localized severe
threat, could persist into the mid to late evening.

..Broyles.. 06/09/2024

$$