Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
232
FNUS54 KEPZ 061237
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Hot temperatures are forecast through at least Friday as moisture
levels increase slightly into the weekend. For this afternoon, a
few virga showers develop in the mountains with a stray dry
lightning strike possible. Better shower and storm chances are
expected for Friday and Saturday. Dry lightning remains a threat
into the weekend. Precip chances diminish early next week as dry
westerly winds develop. Temperatures cool to near normal early in
the week. Light to modest winds are expected outside of storms.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-062045-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) with a slight
chance of rain showers.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....84-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-98.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....9-11 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-10 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
south in the afternoon. Rain showers may
produce gusty and erratic winds.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......14000 ft AGL increasing to 17000 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (146300 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....59-64.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....28-33 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
northwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....81-89.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-15 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in thunderstorms.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......12300 ft AGL increasing to 15200 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (184300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 65. Highs 85 to 90. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 81 to 86. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 81 to 86. West winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-062045-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-103.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL increasing to 16800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
showers in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in showers.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 17000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (183200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 93 to 98. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
to upper 60s. Highs 92 to 97. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower to mid 60s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-062045-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9900 ft AGL increasing to 17100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (118800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....68-73.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........34-39 percent.
* 24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........10-14 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in thunderstorms.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 15700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (141300 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 96 to 101. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 72. Highs 92 to 97. West winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 89 to 94. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-062045-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) with isolated
showers.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....82-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-97.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-17 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-12 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
possible in showers.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......13500 ft AGL increasing to 16700 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (135200 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-61.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....51-56 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....45-50 percent.
* 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 21 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-89.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....21-26 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....15-19 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in thunderstorms.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10300-11900 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (113900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 80 to 85. North winds around
5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 53 to 58. Highs 76 to 81. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-062045-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT FRIDAY...
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-108.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 5 mph.
* Chc of precip.......0 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 16600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89800 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
* Min temperature.....75-79.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........37-42 percent.
* 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....101-107.
* Min humidity........10-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL increasing to 14900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (110700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 97 to 101. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the 70s.
Highs in the mid to upper 90s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Lows near
70. Highs in the 90s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-062045-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
637 AM MDT Thu Jun 6 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-105.
* 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........9-13 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL increasing to 16100 ft AGL in
the afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96100 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
* Min temperature.....69-73.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
* Max temperature.....97-102.
* Min humidity........13-17 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds possible in thunderstorms.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL increasing to 14200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 94 to 99. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 92 to 97. West winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Highs 89 to 94.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
Aronson