134
FXUS64 KEWX 071857
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
157 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Skies are mostly clear across South-Central Texas this afternoon
with just a few patches of a few fair weather cumulus out there.
Temperatures are in the lower to middle 90s for most locations and
dewpoints have begun to mix out which is something we have not seen
too much of yet this summer. San Antonio International airport went
from a dewpoint of 72 to 66 in an hour and boy do we love to see it.
Although the temperature increased from 91 to 95 in the same time the
heat index stayed at 99!

Beyond the little victories of the heat, highs today will still top
out in the middle 90s to near 103 degrees out west. Tonight should
be mostly clear for the most part with some patchy nocturnal stratus
in some places with the southern and western areas likely the
preferred areas. Lows will be back in the lower to middle 70s for
most locations with some upper 70s near the Rio Grande. With
continued high pressure, tomorrow will be very similar to today with
similar dewpoints. Will not need any heat products as moisture
values remain in check. Could see a possible return of a decent
coverage of nocturnal status tomorrow night and with that lows could
have been a bit warmer.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Upper level high pressure will be located over the northern Gulf of
Mexico on Sunday keeping southerly flow at the surface and maximum
temperatures in the 90s and low triple digits this day. Remnants of
a weak upper low move towards the southern Plains Sunday night and
linger near the area through Tuesday. This feature brings low
chances for showers or thunderstorms (around 15-20 percent) to the
area mainly Monday afternoon and evening. While slightly cooler
temperatures are seen in the northern and eastern portions of the CWA
Monday and Tuesday, it does not look like a significant drop with
highs ranging from the low 90s in the northeastern portion of the
area to around 103 degrees near the Rio Grande Monday and Tuesday.

A warming trend is seen mid to late week as the subtropical high
builds in again west of South Central Texas. A few models try to
bring some additional precipitation chances to our far eastern
Coastal Plain counties mid-week but chances are capped around 15
percent as confidence remains low. In general, most the area looks
to remain dry through the work week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

VFR conditions are now prevailing across the area at the present time
with just a few fair weather cumulus noted on satellite at some
spots. Winds remain out of the southeast and could be around 10-15
knots this afternoon. Can`t rule out some brief MVFR ceilings for
mainly the San Antonio sites overnight, but otherwise, no major
impacts are expected during this TAF cycle.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              75  98  74  96 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  72  97  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     73  99  73  99 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            73  96  72  93 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           79 103  80 103 /   0   0   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        73  95  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             72 100  74 100 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        72  97  73  96 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   74  95  73  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       75  98  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           75  99  76 100 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...29
Long-Term...27
Aviation...29