814
FXUS62 KFFC 070524
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
124 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 231 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

At a glance:

-Humid and overcast today.

-A cold front during the overnight hours should turn the humidity
dial down tomorrow.

If you haven`t been outside today, it`s gross. It`s only noon and
dewpoints have climbed into the 70s. A weak line of showers and
thunderstorms is hanging around parts of western GA and the metro
area. This is expected to die off with another round of convection
possible this afternoon as the front continues to make progress
through the state. Mostly along and south of I-85.  A few storms
could produce gusty to damaging winds, but the overall severe threat
remains low given.

Tomorrow looks significantly nicer. Behind the front, temps will
climb into the mid 80s and low 90s but minimum RH values are
expected to fall into the mid to upper 30s giving us a welcome break
from the humidity and keeping a lid on any thunderstorm activity.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Saturday, the (relatively) cooler and drier continental airmass
will have overspread the forecast area. Despite high temperatures in
the mid 80s to low 90s, dewpoints in the 50s areawide will make the
airmass feel less oppressive than what is typical for early June. As
broad and deep troughing becomes the prevailing weather pattern over
the eastern CONUS, several disturbances within the base of the broad
trough will signal the end of our benign weather pattern. Sunday, as
a frontal boundary sags southward, the shower and thunderstorm
chances begin to increase across north Georgia. This front will
slowly progress southward through Monday before stalling out
somewhere across north Florida by Tuesday. As a result, daily rain
and thunderstorm chances are forecast areawide each day through the
end of the period. While SBCAPE will be running between 1000-2000
J/kg and deep layer shear will be in place from Sunday through
midweek, a few storms could become strong. At this time, no
significant severe weather or flooding impacts are in play
throughout the long term forecast period, but a few isolated
strong storms could become severe producing gusty winds and
frequent lightning. Strong storms could also produce instances of
locally heavy rainfall, especially with PWATs running between
1.5-2.0"+ in the moisture rich airmass. Sunday will be the warmest
day of the period with highs in the low 80s to mid 90s. Daytime
highs will then trend cooler each day after Sunday, moderating
back into the 80s by midweek.

KAL

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 122 AM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

VFR through the period. Winds will remain on the west side. Some
gusts between 20 and 25kt possible today.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High confidence all elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          59  88  65  92 /   0   0   0  10
Atlanta         63  88  68  92 /   0   0   0  10
Blairsville     53  81  61  81 /   0   0  10  40
Cartersville    56  88  65  90 /   0   0   0  30
Columbus        64  91  67  95 /   0   0   0  10
Gainesville     60  86  66  89 /   0   0   0  20
Macon           59  91  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            57  89  65  90 /   0   0  10  40
Peachtree City  57  89  65  94 /   0   0   0  10
Vidalia         66  92  68  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....KAL
AVIATION...NListemaa