Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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125 FXUS62 KFFC 071826 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 226 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 ...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Saturday) Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 At a glance: -Dry and pleasant today and tomorrow! -Warm temps remain locked in over the SE. A quick look on satellite and it`s easy to see where the cold front is over Georgia right now. It will gradually meander to the southeast spreading drier conditions deeper into the south. Given the lack of any kind of upper level dynamics, mid level moisture or strong lift the front is doing little more than making today and tomorrow drier with NW flow. Winds are expected to shift to the ESE during the early morning hours tomorrow before becoming SSE by tomorrow night. Conditions will remain lovely but by the end of the short term we expect to see a gradual trend of increasing humidity. So enjoy the nice weather while you can! Vaughn && .LONG TERM... (Sunday morning through next Thursday) Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 Our dry period of weather is expected to come to an end on Sunday as large, broad toughing over the east coast will bring a weak frontal boundary to the forecast area and bring multiple rounds of activity through the long term. As this boundary slowly sags south over the forecast area, daily rain chances will begin over north Georgia Sunday and will encompass locations areawide by midweek. Sunday, an MCS-like feature appears to ride the boundary as the mid-level trough deepens over southeastern Canada. This frontal boundary will slow to a crawl and become stalled across south Georgia/northern Florida where it will continue to serve as the focal point for daily shower and thunderstorm development through the long term period. Model guidance trends show a northward surge of tropical moisture that will interact with the trough and boundary Thursday. This looks to produce a mess of widespread showers and storms, with the northern fringe extending through central Georgia. Despite CAPE values running between 1000-2000 J/kg and non-negligible shear values, no widespread severe activity is expected at this time, though a few storms could become strong with an isolated severe storm through the week. PWATs around 1.5" through the week could result in locally heavy rainfall in the strongest storms. As our dry spell comes to an end, we will also see an end to our warmer than average temperatures. With high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s Sunday and Monday for locations generally south of I- 20, the "cooler" temperatures will accompany the frontal passage. By midweek most locations will see daily high temperatures in the 80s. KAL && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 128 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024 NW winds at 8-10kts could gust as high as 19kts today. Winds will shift to the E side after 12Z. FEW040 will remain for the afternoon, but conditions will remain VFR through the TAF period. //ATL Confidence...18Z Update... High on all elements. Vaughn && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 60 89 64 93 / 0 0 0 10 Atlanta 63 89 69 94 / 0 0 0 10 Blairsville 53 83 62 83 / 0 10 10 40 Cartersville 56 89 63 91 / 0 10 0 20 Columbus 65 93 69 96 / 0 0 0 0 Gainesville 60 86 67 90 / 0 10 0 20 Macon 59 92 62 96 / 0 0 0 0 Rome 56 90 62 92 / 0 10 10 30 Peachtree City 57 90 63 94 / 0 0 0 10 Vidalia 66 93 67 97 / 0 0 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Vaughn LONG TERM....KAL AVIATION...Vaughn