125
FXUS62 KFFC 071826
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
226 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

At a glance:

-Dry and pleasant today and tomorrow!

-Warm temps remain locked in over the SE.

A quick look on satellite and it`s easy to see where the cold front
is over Georgia right now. It will gradually meander to the
southeast spreading drier conditions deeper into the south. Given
the lack of any kind of upper level dynamics, mid level moisture or
strong lift the front is doing little more than making today and
tomorrow drier with NW flow.

Winds are expected to shift to the ESE during the early morning
hours tomorrow before becoming SSE by tomorrow night. Conditions
will remain lovely but by the end of the short term we expect to see
a gradual trend of increasing humidity. So enjoy the nice weather
while you can!

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday morning through next Thursday)
Issued at 225 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Our dry period of weather is expected to come to an end on Sunday as
large, broad toughing over the east coast will bring a weak frontal
boundary to the forecast area and bring multiple rounds of activity
through the long term. As this boundary slowly sags south over the
forecast area, daily rain chances will begin over north Georgia
Sunday and will encompass locations areawide by midweek. Sunday, an
MCS-like feature appears to ride the boundary as the mid-level
trough deepens over southeastern Canada. This frontal boundary will
slow to a crawl and become stalled across south Georgia/northern
Florida where it will continue to serve as the focal point for daily
shower and thunderstorm development through the long term period.
Model guidance trends show a northward surge of tropical moisture
that will interact with the trough and boundary Thursday. This looks
to produce a mess of widespread showers and storms, with the
northern fringe extending through central Georgia. Despite CAPE
values running between 1000-2000 J/kg and non-negligible shear
values, no widespread severe activity is expected at this time,
though a few storms could become strong with an isolated severe
storm through the week. PWATs around 1.5" through the week could
result in locally heavy rainfall in the strongest storms.

As our dry spell comes to an end, we will also see an end to our
warmer than average temperatures. With high temperatures in the mid
to upper 90s Sunday and Monday for locations generally south of I-
20, the "cooler" temperatures will accompany the frontal passage. By
midweek most locations will see daily high temperatures in the 80s.




KAL

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 128 PM EDT Fri Jun 7 2024

NW winds at 8-10kts could gust as high as 19kts today. Winds will
shift to the E side after 12Z. FEW040 will remain for the afternoon,
but conditions will remain VFR through the TAF period.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...

High on all elements.

Vaughn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          60  89  64  93 /   0   0   0  10
Atlanta         63  89  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
Blairsville     53  83  62  83 /   0  10  10  40
Cartersville    56  89  63  91 /   0  10   0  20
Columbus        65  93  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     60  86  67  90 /   0  10   0  20
Macon           59  92  62  96 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            56  90  62  92 /   0  10  10  30
Peachtree City  57  90  63  94 /   0   0   0  10
Vidalia         66  93  67  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Vaughn
LONG TERM....KAL
AVIATION...Vaughn