Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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903 FXUS62 KFFC 280612 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 212 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024 ...New 06Z Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Tuesday) Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 The main line of thunderstorms has moved out of the area, leaving a boundary stretching from Heard County over through Bibb County. A couple storms continue to move along this boundary, occasionally spinning up as they ingests vorticity and MUCAPE of around 2000 J/Kg. This storm is likely to remain at or near severe levels through the next few hours. A few storms are possible north of the boundary this afternoon as the larger mid level trough and sfc cold front pushed through. These storms will be isolated in nature although a storm becoming strong cannot be ruled out. Storms along and south of the boundary will be more scattered in nature. These southern storms also have a greater potential to become strong to even severe given the atmosphere has not quite been worked over just yet. With current cloud coverage, temperatures continue to most models. CAMs overall struggled with this system, however the HRRR seems to be doing the best of all of them. The good news is that once this system moves through, conditions clear and dry out. Winds will be light but noticeable tomorrow and highs will reach back into the mid-80s. SM && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday morning through next Sunday) Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 With active weather ongoing across portions of the forecast area, only minor adjustments have been made to the extended forecast based on the latest guidance. The previous discussion follows... .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 328 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024 The extended forecast starts off dry as high pressure slowly builds in from the northern plains and western great lake states. With this ridge and drier airmass will come slightly cooler temps for the middle to the end of the week. Temps Wed through Fri will see highs mainly in the lower to middle 80s. Moisture begins to creep back in for the weekend and could see precip chances move back in for Sat/Sun. 01 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 201 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024 VFR expected through TAF period. Will need to monitor metro TAF sites for some morning vsby concerns, but currently expecting this to remain south where better rainfall occurred. Winds will pick up through the afternoon at 8-13 kts with some higher gusts around 20 kts from NW before going lighter tonight. SKC expected through period. //ATL Confidence...06Z Update... Medium morning vsby, high all others. Lusk && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 61 85 59 81 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 65 84 62 81 / 0 10 10 10 Blairsville 54 76 52 75 / 0 0 0 0 Cartersville 59 83 57 80 / 0 10 0 10 Columbus 66 88 65 84 / 0 10 10 10 Gainesville 61 83 59 80 / 0 0 0 10 Macon 63 88 64 83 / 0 0 0 10 Rome 60 83 57 82 / 0 10 0 10 Peachtree City 62 85 61 81 / 0 10 10 10 Vidalia 67 89 67 85 / 0 0 0 10 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SM LONG TERM....01 AVIATION...Lusk