Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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Spot Forecast for Nikolaisen WPA...USFWS
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
636 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will increase through the afternoon. After starting out of
the northeast under 10 mph, winds will switch northerly and
increase up to 15 mph. Clouds will increase quickly through the
morning, with skies remaining cloudy throughout the day. While a
few showers or sprinkles are possible (20% chance), wetting rains
should stay south and east of the burn site. Due to the cloud
cover, RH values should stay in the upper 30s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to
                    15 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....35300 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 82300 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........88  85  86  90  88  87  88
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  64  65  65  65  65  64
RH..............53  45  41  40  38  40  41
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   10  10  10  10  15  15
20 FT wind gust.13  14  16  18  19  19  19
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 6.1 7.0 7.4 7.5 5.1 5.5
Mixing wind dir.E   E   NE  N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..35  49  70  75  82  56  66

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 10 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....49100 knot-ft early in the evening decreasing
                    to 4500 knot-ft late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........88     87     88     79     56     45
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............63     59     54     51     48     46
RH..............44     53     66     77     83     86
20 ft wind......NE 15  NE 10  N 10   N 10   N 10   N 10
20 ft wind gust.19     15     16     15     15     18
Mix hgt (ft)....4500   1600   600    600    400    500
Mixing wind.....NE 15  NE 15  N 10   N 15   N 10   NW 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..49     17     6      7      5      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....5500 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    85600 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........43        37        50        48
Weather cov.....          S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............44        52        59        62
RH..............93        74        51        44
20 FT wind......NW 10G18  NW 10G20  NW 15G21  NW 15G21
Mix hgt (ft)....500       2500      4900      5300
Mixing wind.....N 15      NW 15     NW 15     NW 20
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6         35        74        84

$$
Forecaster...DJR/BR
Requested by...Jason Wagner
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414808.0/FGF
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason_wagner@fws.gov