126
FNUS75 KFGZ 100154
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Cienega Creek...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
654 PM MST Sun Jun 9 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on June 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Quiet conditions continue with light and variable winds.
Northerly drainage winds can be expected during the overnight and early
morning hours. West to southwest winds 5 to 15 mph expected each afternoon.
Isolated chances for showers/thunderstorms on Monday afternoon but
otherwise expect mainly dry conditions. Min RH values will be between 10-20%
each afternoon with decent overnight recoveries to around 40-50%.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....45 to 50.
Max humidity........45 to 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light and variable. Winds shift to a
                    northerly drainage wind at 1 to 3 mph after
                    midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the north after
                    3 am.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....74 to 77.
Min humidity........10 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northerly drainage wind at 1 to 3 mph, becoming
                    southeast at 5 mph. Winds shift to the west at
                    7 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......919.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....45 to 50.
Max humidity........40 to 50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light and variable. Winds shift to a
                    north to northeast drainage wind at 1 to 3 mph
                    after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....79 to 83.
Min humidity........10 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northerly winds in the morning, becoming
                    southwest to west around 5 to 10 mph in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1291.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14300
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the south
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the west
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...Justin Thompson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415846.1/FGZ
.DELDT 06/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov