653
FNUS75 KFGZ 110041
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Cienega Creek...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
541 PM MST Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...A warm and dry pattern will continue through midweek.
Expect warmer temperatures each day with low afternoon humidity
from 8 to 15%. Winds will be generally light and less than 10 mph.
A low chance for a shower or thunderstorm is on the horizon by
Thursday of this week.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy, becoming clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....43 to 47.
Max humidity........51 to 55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening, becoming light north to northeast
                    drainage wind around 5 mph or less overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 knots.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....85 to 89.
Min humidity........10 to 15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light north to northeast winds in the morning,
                    becoming west around 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1124.
Mixing height.......11700 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14700
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....North around 5 knots shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....47 to 51.
Max humidity........36 to 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming
                    light north to northeast drainage wind around
                    5 mph or less.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the north
                    after 3 am.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....87 to 91.
Min humidity........8 to 12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph, shifting to the
                    west to southwest in the afternoon around
                    5 to 7 mph with a few gusts to 15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1362.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL early in the morning increasing to
                    16100 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.

$$
Forecaster...M TAYLOR
Requested by...Justin Thompson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415846.2/FGZ
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azsdc@firenet.gov