502
FNUS75 KFGZ 102054
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Bravo Fire...Northern Arizona IMT 3
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
154 PM MST Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Hot, dry weather will continue with temperatures
warming each day. Generally light winds are expected Tuesday,
only gusting roughly 15 mph in the afternoon out of the southwest.
They will start increasing Wednesday with gusts ranging between 15
and 25 mph. Near critical to potentially critical fire weather conditions
are expected to arrive Thursday/Friday as winds continue to increase
with continued hot, dry conditions.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1542.
Mixing height.......12100 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 15000
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the
                    north overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2952.
Mixing height.......10800 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 14300 ft
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots increasing to southwest
                    around 20 knots in the late morning and afternoon.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    north overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots shifting to the
                    north overnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of sprinkles in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........12 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph increasing to
                    15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......3296.
Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 13500
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South around 10 knots increasing to southwest
                    around 30 knots.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......4.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 knots becoming south 5 to
                    10 knots in the late evening and overnight,
                    then shifting to the north after 3 am.

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...Thaddeus A McKain
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415910.1/FGZ
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thadmckain@gmail.com