258
FNUS75 KFGZ 102046
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Bear...Fort Apache
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
146 PM MST Mon Jun 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 MST on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Hot, dry weather will continue with temperatures
warming each day. Generally light winds are expected Tuesday,
only gusting roughly 15 mph in the afternoon out of the southwest.
They will start increasing Wednesday with gusts ranging between 15
and 25 mph. Near critical to potentially critical fire weather conditions
are expected to arrive Thursday/Friday as winds continue to increase
with continued hot, dry conditions.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........7-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 4-7 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1053.
Mixing height.......15000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 knots shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 knots shifting to the north
                    overnight. Smoke drainage down Cibecue Creek

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........6-9 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon and increasing to
                    5-10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2012.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL early in the morning increasing to
                    17100 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 2 knots early shifting to the south
                    5 to 10 knots during morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the southwest late
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...SITL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415841.2/FGZ
.DELDT 06/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2024.bear.situation@firenet.gov