284
FNUS75 KFGZ 072111
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Bravo Fire...NAT3 IMT
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
211 PM MST Fri Jun 7 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 MST on June 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue with a gradual cooling
trend through the weekend. Southwest winds will prevail with speeds
generally between 10-15 mph and gusts 20-25 mph each afternoon.
Light drainage flow is forecast to develop each night. Min RH values
will be between 10-20% each afternoon with decent overnight recoveries
to around 50-60%

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear with areas of smoke.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....43 to 45.
Max humidity........50 to 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 to 20 mph until 10:00 PM
                    then 5 mph or less. Winds shift to a north to northeast
                    drainage wind at 1 to 3 mph after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 knots.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny with areas of smoke in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....82 to 84.
Min humidity........10 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North to northeast drainage winds at 1 to 3 mph until
                    7:00 AM, shifting to southwest at 5 to 15 mph gusting
                    to 25 mph by the early afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1805.
Mixing height.......10600 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12900
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Areas of smoke.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....43 to 45.
Max humidity........50 to 60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 to 10 mph until 10:00 PM,
                    then shifting to a north to northeast drainage wind
                    at 1 to 3 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with haze and areas of smoke in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....77 to 79.
Min humidity........10 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North to northeast drainage winds at 1 to 3 mph until
                    7:00 AM shifting to a south to southwest wind at 5 to
                    15 mph gusting to 25 mph by the early afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2410.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12700
                    ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20
                    knots in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...Katie Brown
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415793.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL katie_brown@firenet.gov