Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
481
FNUS52 KILM 281335
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
935 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible
along the coast today as a front stalls in the area. The front
moves offshore tonight with cooler and drier air building in
Wednesday. Unseasonably dry air will linger over the area through
the end of the week. Moisture will start to increase early next
week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-290545-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
935 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 0
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 1
Max/Min Temp 90 63 89
Min/Max RH (%) 48 95 33
Wind20ft/Early (mph) W 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.13 0.05 0.00
Precip Duration 1 0
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 9 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 7800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 101400
ADI Early 39 Fair 26 Fair 63 Good
ADI Late 68 Good 5 Very Poor 105 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 6 6
Max LVORI Late 2 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 76 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 40 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-290545-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
935 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 62 88
Min/Max RH (%) 40 89 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var W 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 1900 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 7700
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109500 123200
ADI Early 43 Gen Good 64 Good 64 Good
ADI Late 115 Very Good6 Very Poor 125 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 74 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 37 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
43 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-290545-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
935 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 90 63 88
Min/Max RH (%) 45 90 32
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 5 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 1 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0800 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 7800
Transport Wind (mph) W 14 W 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 95200 109200
ADI Early 38 Fair 32 Fair 60 Gen Good
ADI Late 85 Good 5 Very Poor 107 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 5
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
72 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 88 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
48 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-290545-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
935 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 90 62 87
Min/Max RH (%) 40 82 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0800 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7700 7900
Transport Wind (mph) W 15 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 115500 126400
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 78 Good 66 Good
ADI Late 122 Very Good6 Very Poor 129 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 8 3 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 71 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum
RH 89 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$