Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
263
FNUS52 KILM 210656
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
256 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore mid week bringing warmer
temperatures and moister conditions later in the week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-212300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
256 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 82 57 87
Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var SE 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 59/0800 2000 71/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 N 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45000 44800
ADI Early 39 Fair 34 Fair 22 Fair
ADI Late 49 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-212300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
256 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 83 57 87
Min/Max RH (%) 42 100 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) NE 5 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 64/0900 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5900
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 53100
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 38 Fair 23 Fair
ADI Late 58 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-212300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
256 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 83 58 87
Min/Max RH (%) 46 100 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) NE 4 SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 65/0900 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5600
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 SE 7
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 39200
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 33 Fair 22 Fair
ADI Late 61 Good 4 Very Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 6 Fog 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-212300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
256 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 84 57 87
Min/Max RH (%) 40 100 40
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 66/0900 2000 73/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 7 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41300 46400
ADI Early 57 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 25 Fair
ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 2 Fog 7 1 Fog
Min VSBY Late 7 1 Fog 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright