Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
005 FXUS62 KKEY 280225 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1025 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1025 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 It has been another quiet and warm evening across the Florida Keys. Currently, KBYX is precipitation free across our CWA despite earlier convection from seabreeze interactions on mainland Florida and Cuba. Nighttime Microphysics satellite imagery depicts generally clear skies across the Keys with a few wisps of high cirrus debris dissipating over the eastern half of the island chain. Current temperatures are in the mid 80s except for our more "inland" outlier at Big Pine reading in 79F. Unfortunately, dewpoints are in the mid to upper 70s resulting in a very muggy evening. Breezes along the Reef continue to be out of the east to southeast and have added a knot or two since this afternoon but are still solidly in the light to gentle categories. Tonight will be more of the same as previous nights. Despite deep layer troughing stirring up strong to severe storms across the east coast of CONUS earlier this evening, deep layer ridging in the Gulf will keep hold of our sensible weather. In fact, our 00z balloon sounding this evening saw an approximately 1000ft rise in our freezing level from yesterday at the same time due to the surface high nosing over our area from the western North Atlantic. While our PW has rose a few tenths from then, a relatively dry lower to mid level and unfavorable synoptic set up will keep rain chances near nil tonight and only a slight chance tomorrow. Breezes will remain out of the southeast and briefly surge to possibly moderate values overnight before slackening tomorrow once again. The forecast is on track with no changes required at this time. && .MARINE... Issued at 1025 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 There are currently no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect across the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, high pressure over the western North Atlantic will maintain light to gentle southeast to south breezes through Tuesday. Breezes will surge one more time overnight tonight where breezes may occasionally become moderate. As the high slides further east into the Atlantic, breezes will slacken and become variable for Tuesday night and Wednesday. Another strengthening high pressure moves across the eastern United States and builds southward resulting in strengthening northeast to east breezes for late week. Freshening breezes will return by next weekend. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 1025 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 VFR and dry conditions will prevail at both EYW and MTH tonight and into tomorrow. Near surface winds will be out of the southeast at around 5 knots early, increasing to 5 to 10 knots overnight. && .CLIMATE... On this day in 1959, Marathon measured a record rainfall amount of 6.60". This measured rainfall in Marathon was the highest daily total for the month of May, until this last Monday`s soaking of 7.08". May rainfall records for Marathon date back to 1951. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Key West 82 90 81 90 / 0 0 10 10 Marathon 82 93 81 93 / 0 10 20 10 && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...JAM Aviation/Nowcasts....JAM Data Acquisition.....DR Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest