Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
067 FXUS65 KLKN 242112 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 212 PM PDT Fri May 24 2024 .SYNOPSIS...A weather disturbance will bring isolated to scattered showers to portions of central and northeastern Nevada through tonight. Showers are expected to diminish and move eastward by late Saturday morning into Saturday afternoon leaving behind breezy west- northwest winds and mild temperatures int he 60s and lower 70s. A gradual warmup through early next week commences Sunday with another chance for showers beginning Tuesday with seasonally warm temperatures for the latter part of next week. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Sunday night An upper-level trough moving through the region will bring a few showers to central Nevada through the afternoon hours along with additional shower development across north central and northeastern Nevada late tonight into Saturday morning, moving out and diminishing Saturday afternoon across far northeastern Nevada. Instability and moisture are limited with this weather feature so thunderstorm chances remain low (15% or less across the area). Precipitable water values of 0.50" or less do not promote much surface rainfall so rainfall will be limited as well with 10% or less chance for wetting rains (0.10") in all valleys in eastern Nevada. Only the East Humboldt Range and Jarbidge Wilderness area have chances of 30-40% of a wetting rain. A modest west wind across the area Saturday will subside Saturday night with colder overnight lows in the 30s across much of the area , particularly Elko county where some freezing temperatures are expected. Drier conditions and lighter west winds emerge Sunday as a ridging builds over the area with highs jumping back up into the 70s, approaching 80 near Tonopah. Lows Sunday night will drop into the upper 30s to 40s under clear skies. .LONG TERM...Monday through next Friday Weak ridging will allow for dry weather Monday and most of Tuesday, with highs in the 70s and 80s. Tuesday an upper level trough will move into the Pacific northwest. Some instability along a cold front will provide a chance of isolated to scattered showers with isolated thunderstorms across portions of northern Nevada, in northern Elko county anytime after noon. QPF values look minimal with any shower or storm that develops. Lows each night will be in the 40s for much of the area. The trough in the Pacific Northwest will progress east but remain largely north of Nevada. Temperatures during the day will largely remain in the upper 70s across the north, and low to mid 80s across central Nevada. Some more isolated showers and thunderstorm chances remain across northern Elko county Wednesday afternoon. Night time lows will generally remain in the 40s. Dry weather looks to continue through the end of next week. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours at all terminals. -SHRA are also possible a few hours before and including 12Z Saturday at all sites except KTPH but occurrence on station remains low, so went with VCSH. && .HYDROLOGY...Temperatures will quickly warm Sunday and early next week and flows on many small creeks and streams are expected to again rise, possibly into action stage for some, such as Lamoille Creek. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with Battle Mountain currently in action stage and Comus forecast to enter action stage early next week. Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and is forecast to remain in action stage for the next several days. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 93/91/91/93