Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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785 FXUS64 KLZK 121706 AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 1206 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday Night) Issued at 306 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 Sfc high pressure remained in control acrs the Natural State early this mrng. A veil of high lvl clouds were also noted, assocd with an upper lvl trof moving eastward acrs north TX. Predawn temps were mainly in the 60s. The aforementioned upper trof wl cont to work eastward today, with high lvl clouds sloly decreasing. Thereafter, upper heights wl be incrsg in the coming days, along with daytime high temps. With the sfc ridge persisting ovr the FA, gulf moisture return wl be shunted to our west, keeping assocd aftn heat index values below critical thresholds the next 2 days. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Tuesday) Issued at 306 AM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 The period will begin with high pressure building over the region from the central/southern Plains. Under the ridge, mostly dry conditions are expected, and hot temperatures are in the forecast Friday through the weekend. While well above normal temperatures will be noted, heat index values will generally stay below dangerous levels. Dewpoints will be in the 60s Friday/Saturday, with heat index values struggling to reach triple digits in places by Saturday. Moisture levels will edge higher on Sunday, and dewpoints may approach 70 degrees in parts of central/southern/eastern Arkansas. In these areas, afternoon heat indices should peak from 100 to 105 degrees. Early next week, the ridge will wobble to the east. There is some indication that tropical moisture will head this way from the Gulf Coast. Temperatures will not be as hot Monday/Tuesday, and there will be isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon/evening. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 VFR conditions, and a light and variable will prevail through the valid TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 86 62 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 87 60 92 64 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 85 63 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 88 63 92 66 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 88 65 92 69 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 87 61 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 87 62 92 65 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 86 63 90 67 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 87 63 91 67 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 86 62 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 88 64 92 68 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 86 61 90 66 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 84 63 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55 LONG TERM....46 AVIATION...55