Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
841
FNUS54 KMAF 261858
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
158 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 4 PERCENT, 20 FT WINDS GREATER THAN 20
MPH, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...
.DISCUSSION...
Another critical fire weather day with humidity as low as 5 percent
and elevated 20ft winds in the mountains. Given ERCs in the 97th+
percentile and critically dry fuels, a Red Flag Warning has been
issued for the far western regions and mountains through this
evening. On Monday, 20ft winds decrease but conditions remain
extremely dry with poor morning recovery and another day of near-
critical fire weather is expected for the Guadalupe Mountains and
surrounding plains. Better moisture returns with lower fire concerns
Tuesday and beyond with storms out east which may bring a lightning
threat and gusty and erratic winds.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-270930-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1258 PM MDT Sun May 26 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-2) 92 (+5) 54 94
RH % (24h trend) 21 (-1) 4 (-3) 21 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 NW 7 SW 11 W 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9 S 9 W 7 S 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 15 25 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13460 15010
Transport Wnd (kts) W 19 SW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 255740 345230
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 4 4 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-270930-
Chaves Plains-
1258 PM MDT Sun May 26 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-3) 96 (+3) 56 98
RH % (24h trend) 28 (+4) 5 (-2) 56 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 N 6 S 7 NE 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 5 NE 5 SE 6 S 8
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 12 18 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14000 16940
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 13 SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 182000 304920
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 1
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-270930-
Eddy Plains-
1258 PM MDT Sun May 26 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-3) 100 (+5) 59 100
RH % (24h trend) 21 (+3) 4 (-2) 35 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 11 NW 6 SW 9 W 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 7 W 7 SW 6 SW 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 24 23 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14390 16450
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 259020 345450
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 2 2 1
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-270930-
Lea-
1258 PM MDT Sun May 26 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 20
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-4) 98 (+5) 57 99
RH % (24h trend) 26 (+8) 4 (-2) 69 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 N 6 SW 6 SE 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 5 SW 7 SE 6 SW 11
LAL 1 1 1 2
Haines Index 6 6 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 24 23 19 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14290 15690
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 S 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 257220 298110
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 1
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-270930-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
158 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024 /1258 PM MDT Sun May 26 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-3) 94 (+10) 62 93
RH % (24h trend) 13 (-4) 4 (-2) 14 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 18 W 11 W 14 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9 W 15 W 8 W 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 19 26 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11600 13490
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 266800 323760
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 4 4 2
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ279>282-270930-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-
Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
158 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Pcldy Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Temp (24h trend) 66 (-3) 106 (+5) 67 105
RH % (24h trend) 16 (-2) 5 (0) 70 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 8 Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var S 5 E 7 S 8
LAL 1 1 1 3
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 15 16 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13550 11640
Transport Wnd (kts) W 14 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 189700 197880
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 100. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 100. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>278-270930-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, and Alpine
158 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 99 (+7) 62 99
RH % (24h trend) 14 (+1) 4 (-1) 43 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 13 W 7 W 8 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 6 W 9 NW 6 W 9
LAL 1 1 1 2
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 22 21 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13470 15160
Transport Wnd (kts) W 19 SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 255930 303200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 2 2 1
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-270930-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
158 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024
Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Temp (24h trend) 60 (-7) 104 (+6) 65 100
RH % (24h trend) 33 (+4) 4 (-2) 86 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 NW 5 S 7 S 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SE 9 S 11
LAL 1 1 1 3
Haines Index 6 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 17 19 20
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 14780 9190
Transport Wnd (kts) W 17 S 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 251260 174610
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 0
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$