Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
602
FNUS54 KMAF 260110
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
810 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FT WINDS OF
20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND ADJACENT WEST TEXAS SOUTH THROUGHT THE CHINATIS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20 FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF WEST TEXAS, DAVIS, CHINATI, AND
DELAWARE MOUNTAINS, DAVIS MOUNTAIN FOOTHILLS, MARFA PLATEAU, AND
CULBERSON COUNTY PLAINS...
.DISCUSSION...
Extreme fire weather conditions this afternoon with humidity as
low as 4 percent and 20ft winds exceeding 30 mph across the
west. ERCs are at the 97th+ percentile with extremely dry fuels
and RFTIs of 7- 8, so a Red Flag Warning is in effect through this
evening. Recovery tonight will be poor across the west and south,
and afternoon humidity once again falls to 5 percent with no
improvement in fuel moisture, so a Fire Weather Watch has been
issued for tomorrow afternoon. 20ft winds decrease a bit on
Monday but humidity will still fall to critical levels with poor
overnight recovery, so one final day of near-critical fire weather
will be possible. Tuesday and beyond, better moisture moves in
and storm chances increase for the eastern counties, decreasing
fire weather concerns somewhat.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-260915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
710 PM MDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-5) 88 (+2) 54 92
RH % (24h trend) 26 (+12) 6 (+1) 23 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 25 W 14 W 15 NW 15
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 18 W 16 W 11 SW 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 49 34 30 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11190 13930
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 246180 264670
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 5 5 3
RFTI Category Extreme Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-260915-
Chaves Plains-
710 PM MDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-1) 93 (0) 55 96
RH % (24h trend) 26 (-4) 7 (+2) 29 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 22 NW 14 W 11 N 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 W 15 NW 6 NE 11
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 6
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 33 24 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12510 14650
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 S 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 262710 234400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 4 4 2
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 60. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or
below 15 percent. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-260915-
Eddy Plains-
710 PM MDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-4) 96 (+2) 58 98
RH % (24h trend) 22 (-1) 5 (0) 22 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 24 NW 13 W 14 NW 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 W 14 W 8 NW 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 26 26 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11770 14890
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 247170 238240
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 4 5 3
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-260915-
Lea-
710 PM MDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (0) 94 (0) 56 96
RH % (24h trend) 22 (-29) 5 (+1) 28 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 20 NW 15 W 11 N 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 W 16 NW 6 N 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 48 29 24 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10600 14900
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 22 S 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 233200 253300
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 4 4 3
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-260915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
810 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 /710 PM MDT Sat May 25 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-7) 89 (+4) 58 91
RH % (24h trend) 20 (+10) 6 (+1) 16 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 28 W 23 W 21 W 22
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 24 W 24 W 12 W 21
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 41 29 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7750 11890
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 201500 285360
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 7 7 6
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 10
to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ279>282-260915-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Presidio Valley-
Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
810 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (-2) 104 (+1) 64 106
RH % (24h trend) 20 (+1) 4 (+1) 15 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 NW 9 NW 11 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 9 W 15 N 6 W 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 37 33 20 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11030 13750
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 231630 192500
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 4 5 1
RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to 10
mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around
102. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs around 101.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>278-260915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, and Alpine
810 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-2) 95 (0) 58 97
RH % (24h trend) 18 (+8) 5 (+1) 15 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 16 W 15 W 14 W 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 W 19 W 7 W 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 50 42 29 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9690 14130
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 242250 268470
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 6 6 3
RFTI Category Extreme Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045-050-059-060-067-274-260915-
Gaines-Andrews-Loving-Winkler-Ward-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Andrews, Mentone, Kermit,
Monahans, and Pecos
810 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 63 (+2) 99 (0) 58 101
RH % (24h trend) 20 (-22) 4 (0) 28 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 16 W 12 W 12 NW 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 W 15 W 6 NW 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 47 37 28 19
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10420 15320
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 229240 245120
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 4 4 2
RFTI Category Extreme Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ046>048-051>053-061>063-068>070-075-082-260915-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Ector-Midland-
Glasscock-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Including the cities of Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Stanton,
Big Spring, Colorado City, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Crane,
McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
810 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (-1) 101 (-1) 61 103
RH % (24h trend) 44 (-17) 5 (-2) 35 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 W 11 W 10 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 W 15 W 5 N 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 42 34 26 15
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10090 14950
Transport Wnd (kts) W 21 SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 211890 239200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 4 4 2
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
44