Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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128 ACUS11 KWNS 072352 SWOMCD SPC MCD 072351 NEZ000-080115- Mesoscale Discussion 1196 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0651 PM CDT Fri Jun 07 2024 Areas affected...Portions of south-central Nebraska Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395...397... Valid 072351Z - 080115Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 395, 397 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado or two remain possible with thunderstorms tracking south-southeastward across south-central Nebraska this evening. DISCUSSION...Latest radar data from KLNX indicates several discrete/semi-discrete supercells tracking south-southeastward across south-central Nebraska this evening. In particular, one longer-lived intense supercell currently over southeastern Custer County poses the greatest risk for large hail, damaging winds, and a tornado. Downstream of this storm, VWP data shows a large, clockwise-curved low-level hodograph (around 200 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH), which will support ample streamwise vorticity ingestion, given middle 60s dewpoints and moderate surface-based instability. This supercell may persist for another 60-90 minutes, with large hail up to 2.5 inches, locally damaging gusts up to 75 mph, and a tornado possible. Trailing supercell development along the outflow boundary will also pose a risk for large hail and damaging winds, and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out. Farther east over Nance County, a locally upscale-growing storm cluster is moving southeast at 30-35 kt, and this storm may pose a greater damaging-wind risk, with large hail also possible. ..Weinman/Majchrowski.. 06/07/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF... LAT...LON 41490022 41669990 41729792 41519714 41059675 40469696 40299765 40199853 40259955 40370001 40720035 41070050 41490022