Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
072
ACUS11 KWNS 090004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090004
KSZ000-090130-
Mesoscale Discussion 1208
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0704 PM CDT Sat Jun 08 2024
Areas affected...The western half of Kansas
Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely
Valid 090004Z - 090130Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent
SUMMARY...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be issued for
parts of the area by 01Z. Primary concerns are significant severe
gusts up to 80 mph and large hail.
DISCUSSION...During the next few hours, a mix of supercells and
bowing line segments currently tracking east-southeastward across
eastern CO (in Severe Thunderstorm Watch 398) will continue across
the western half of Kansas. Current expectation is for much of the
ongoing activity to congeal into organized clusters as they continue
eastward into tonight -- given strong/persistent outflow generation.
The downstream environment features middle/upper 80s temperatures
amid middle/upper 60s dewpoints beneath an EML/steep lapse rate
plume. The resultant moderate/strong surface-based instability
should support a continued severe risk with eastward extent into
tonight. Around 50 kt of westerly effective shear should also favor
organized clusters capable of significant winds gusts (up to 80 mph)
and instances of large hail. It is still unclear if one consolidated
MCS can develop, but if this scenario unfolds, more widespread
severe wind can be expected. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely
be issued by 01Z for much of the area.
..Weinman/Bunting.. 06/09/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 37630201 38290200 39020184 39480154 39670132 39650069
39139793 38259723 37529717 37089726 37089948 37110071
37240164 37630201