Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
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209 FNUS76 KMFR 220044 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Scott Bar Mountain Unit 3C...USFS National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 544 PM PDT Tue May 21 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PDT on May 22. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...An upper level disturbance will move into NE Oregon Wednesday. While this will be too far from the burn site to result in any precipitation chances, it will lead to gusty northwest winds (especially over ridges) Wednesday increasing in the early morning, peaking around 4-5 PM, the gradually decreasing into the late evening. As the disturbance moves eastwards, Thursday and Friday will see warmer temperatures, continued dry weather, and generally light winds with afternoon breezes. Another disturbance will move north of the burn site early Saturday, once again likely dry but bringing an increase in winds. High pressure builds in Sunday and Monday with conditions average for this time of year. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (mostly high clouds, some cumulus over higher terrain forming in the late afternoon). Max temperature.....59-62 degrees. Min humidity........27-30 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 1-2 mph in the morning increasing after 10 AM into the late afternoon up to 3-5 mph with gusts to 8-9 mph. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-8 mph in the morning increasing to 8-11 mph with gusts to 18-21 mph. Mixing height.......Increasing to 6000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest around 16 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear. Min temperature.....36-39 degrees. Max humidity........52 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 4-5 mph with gusts to 8-9 mph in the early evening dropping off after 8-9 PM to 1-2 mph overnight. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8-11 mph with gusts to 18-21 mph in the evening becoming light 2-3 mph. Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny, clear. Max temperature.....65-69 degrees. Min humidity........22-25 percent. Eye level winds.....Variable 1-2 mph in the morning becoming north 2-3 mph in the afternoon, then shifting NE 1-2 mph in the evening. Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-2 mph becoming north 5-6 mph in the afternoon, then shifting NE 3-5 mph in the evening. Mixing height.......Increasing to 7200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph. CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds generally out of the NW. RH trending upwards. No precipitation. .SATURDAY... Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds in the morning followed by breeziness in the afternoon, generally out of the NW. RH trending upwards slightly. No precipitation. .SUNDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Light winds in the morning followed by mild breeziness in the afternoon, generally out of the NW. RH trending downwards slightly. No precipitation. $$ Forecaster...PRICE Requested by...Paul Buchter Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414867.0/MFR .DELDT 05/21/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL paul.buchter@usda.gov