Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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309 FXUS62 KMLB 280545 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 145 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 137 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024 VFR conditions are forecast to continue across the terminals early this morning with winds remaining light and variable. Winds will pick up out of the west at 5 to 10 knots across all terminals today, with some places along the coast gusting up to 15 knots at times. An approaching weak frontal boundary combined with the east coast sea breeze will lead to increasing rain and storm chances across the area after 12Z, with VCSH and VCTS possible at all terminals. Will likely need to add in TEMPOs with the next forecast package as confidence in timing of storms increases. Lingering VCSH will be possible until around 03Z along the coastal terminals from the Cape southward. Activity will then diminish after 03Z, with winds becoming light and variable. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1009 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 It`s currently dry over east central Florida with few to scattered mid-to-upper level clouds, mainly to the north of I-4. A mid level trough is currently over the Deep Southeast and northern Florida. Current temperatures are still warm, especially for this time of night with temperatures in the low to upper 80s and are expected to drop into the low to upper 70s overnight into the morning hours. Mostly dry conditions are forecast overnight with increasing cloud cover into Tuesday morning to the north of I-4 ahead of the approaching shortwave. A slim chance of showers (PoPs~ 15%) is forecast into early Tuesday morning along the Treasure Coast. West winds well inland and southeast winds to the east will become light overnight from the west-southwest at around 5-8mph. && .MARINE... Issued at 1009 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024 Currently-Tonight... Favorable boating conditions are expected overnight. A shortwave will approach the waters into Tuesday morning. Isolated showers are possible (PoPs ~ 20%) well ahead of the trough into early Tuesday, mainly offshore. West to southwest winds at around 10-15kts offshore (20-60nm), as well as over the nearshore Treasure Coast waters are forecast with 5-10kts over the nearshore Volusia and Brevard county waters. Seas are forecast to build to 1-3ft. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 93 72 91 70 / 30 10 10 0 MCO 94 74 96 71 / 40 10 10 0 MLB 94 74 91 73 / 50 30 20 10 VRB 95 72 92 72 / 50 40 20 10 LEE 92 73 95 71 / 30 0 10 0 SFB 95 73 96 71 / 30 10 10 0 ORL 94 74 97 73 / 40 10 10 0 FPR 95 72 92 71 / 50 40 30 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE... AVIATION...Tollefsen