Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for Indian River Trail...USFWS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
507 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on May 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light west-southwest winds this morning will become southeast
around 10 mph as the east coast sea breeze develops after 12 PM
and moves inland. Conditions are forecast to remain mostly dry
near the burn site today into tonight. Heat will continue to be a
concern today, with afternoon highs in the low 90s and minimum RH
values in the mid to upper 40s. Peak heat indices will near 100.
Afternoon smoke dispersion will be fair today.

Similar conditions are forecast on Monday, with dry conditions
and afternoon highs reaching the low 90s. Peak heat indices
nearing 100 yet again. Minimum RH values will remain in the mid
40s. Light west-southwest winds will become southeasterly around
10 mph as the sea breeze moves inland. Afternoon smoke dispersion
will improve slightly, becoming generally good near the burn site.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 33.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  17  15  13  10  8   10  13  15  16  17  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  72  76  79  83  86  88  91  92  92  91  91
RH..............97  100 87  78  68  61  57  51  49  49  52  52
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   6   6   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.6 3.3 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.4 2.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   6   8   12  15  23  29  31  33  31
LVORI...........9   10  7   4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 6 to 10 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....27 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........17     14     17     19     18     15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............89     83     79     78     76     76
RH..............57     72     86     90     94     91
20 ft wind......SE 9   SE 8   S 7    S 6    S 5    SW 5
20 ft wind gust.13     14     13     10     7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   900    400    500    400    400
Transport wind..E 12   SE 13  SE 12  S 10   S 8    SW 6
Dispersion idx..27     8      6      5      4      3
LVORI...........2      3      5      6      7      8

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon decreasing to 4400 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph shifting to the south
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 54 in the afternoon decreasing
                    to 39.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........14     14     10     11     18     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     75     83     89     92     93
RH..............100    94     69     54     46     46
20 ft wind......SW 5   W 5    W 5    SW 5   S 6    SE 7
20 ft wind gust.6      6      7      7      7      9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    2500   4400   6300   4400
Transport wind..W 6    W 5    SW 7   SW 9   SW 9   S 9
Dispersion idx..3      4      20     38     54     39
LVORI...........9      7      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Brian Pippin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415096.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brian_Pippin@fws.gov