Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
076
FNUS72 KMLB 212152
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Sandy Drain WF...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
552 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Good afternoon. The east coast sea breeze has already pushed through
the fire site this afternoon, with northeast winds around 10 mph behind
the sea breeze. Light northeast winds are forecast into tonight,
with wind speeds generally around 5 mph or less under partly cloudy
to mostly clear skies. Mostly dry conditions are forecast through tonight.
While fog is not forecast at this time, settling of smoke from the fire
may also cause visibility concerns along the area roadways due to the light
winds. Smoke dispersion values will be fair to good this afternoon, decreasing
to poor overnight.
On Wednesday,expect northeast winds to continue with speeds of 10-15
mph with a few gusts to around 20 mph possible. Mostly dry conditions
are forecast, with rain chances less than 10 percent. Minimum RH
values will continue to be relatively high in the 50-60 percent range
due to the onshore winds. Smoke dispersion values will be good on
Wednesday.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
the evening.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....49 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 7.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........39 32 24 24 23 23 24 25 26 26 27 27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 0 10 10 10 10 10 0 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............83 82 80 78 76 75 74 73 72 72 71 70
RH..............65 69 74 79 85 84 87 90 93 90 93 97
20 FT wind dir..NE NE E E NE E E E E E NE NE
20 FT wind spd..10 9 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.16 14 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.14 14 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 6 6
Dispersion idx..52 46 6 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........1 1 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 56 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 47.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........22 17 18 15 11 9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 10 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............71 73 81 85 85 86
RH..............93 93 72 59 59 55
20 ft wind......E 2 NE 3 E 6 E 8 E 10 E 10
20 ft wind gust.6 8 12 14 16 16
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1000 3800 4600 4900 4300
Transport wind..E 6 E 7 E 8 E 8 E 10 E 10
Dispersion idx..3 8 39 45 59 48
LVORI...........7 5 3 1 1 1
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....43 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........7 8 13 18 15 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............84 78 75 73 71 70
RH..............59 74 82 89 93 96
20 ft wind......E 10 E 7 E 5 E 2 SE 2 SE 2
20 ft wind gust.15 13 10 8 6 5
Mix hgt (ft)....3000 1500 800 500 500 500
Transport wind..E 12 E 12 E 10 SE 8 SE 7 SE 6
Dispersion idx..43 6 4 4 3 3
LVORI...........1 3 5 6 6 8
$$
Forecaster...Watson
Requested by...Anthony Petellat
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414812.1/MLB
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anthony.petellat@fdacs.gov